So I gave you all the specifics (average ad rate, last year's scripted demo average, etc) in the individual network-specific posts. Now, I want to make a compilation simply of the the projected demos the shows would need to live up to the ad rates and compare them to how they are actually doing so far. Ready?
Ratings through Tuesday, December 30.
ABC
| Show Title | Demo Rating | Projected Ad Rating | +/- | Renew/Cancel Prediction |
| The Goldbergs |
2.15
|
1.73
|
0.42
|
Renew |
| Dr Ken |
1.24
|
0.81
|
0.43
|
Renew |
| Last Man Standing |
1.25
|
0.83
|
0.42
|
Renew |
| Grey’s Anatomy |
2.38
|
2.05
|
0.33
|
Renew |
| The Middle |
2.03
|
1.80
|
0.23
|
Renew |
| The Muppets |
1.53
|
1.68
|
-0.15
|
Toss Up |
| Fresh Off The Boat |
1.51
|
1.56
|
-0.05
|
Renew |
| Blackish |
1.86
|
1.99
|
-0.13
|
Renew |
| Scandal |
2.52
|
2.65
|
-0.13
|
Renew |
| Nashville |
1.03
|
1.19
|
-0.16
|
Toss Up |
| Quantico |
1.45
|
1.78
|
-0.33
|
Renew |
| Modern Family |
2.76
|
3.02
|
-0.26
|
Renew |
| Agents of S.H.I.E.L.D |
1.42
|
1.69
|
-0.27
|
Renew |
| Castle |
1.13
|
1.51
|
-0.38
|
Cancel |
| Once Upon a Time |
1.57
|
2.03
|
-0.46
|
Renew |
| Blood & Oil |
0.96
|
1.70
|
-0.74
|
Cancel |
| How to Get Away with Murder |
2.12
|
2.94
|
-0.82
|
Renew |
CBS
| Show Title | Demo Rating | Projected Ad Rating | +/- | Renew/Cancel Prediction |
| Madam Secretary |
1.29
|
1.36
|
-0.07
|
Renew |
| The Good Wife |
1.06
|
1.42
|
-0.36
|
Cancel |
| CSI: Cyber |
0.86
|
1.21
|
-0.35
|
Cancel |
| Supergirl |
1.86
|
2.41
|
-0.55
|
Cancel |
| Scorpion |
1.81
|
2.04
|
-0.21
|
Renew |
| NCIS |
2.22
|
2.22
|
0.00
|
Renew |
| NCIS: LA |
1.26
|
1.62
|
-0.36
|
Toss Up |
| NCIS: NO |
1.67
|
1.80
|
-0.13
|
Renew |
| Limitless |
1.52
|
1.67
|
-0.15
|
Renew |
| Criminal Minds |
1.67
|
1.99
|
-0.32
|
Renew |
| Code Black |
1.27
|
1.92
|
-0.65
|
Cancel |
| The Big Bang Theory |
3.97
|
4.07
|
-0.10
|
Renew |
| Life in Pieces |
2.00
|
2.18
|
-0.18
|
Renew |
| Mom |
1.63
|
1.86
|
-0.23
|
Renew |
| Elementary |
0.97
|
1.55
|
-0.58
|
Cancel |
| Hawaii 5-0 |
1.07
|
1.15
|
-0.08
|
Renew |
| Blue Bloods |
1.20
|
1.11
|
0.09
|
Renew |
No data on 2 Broke Girls.
The CW
| Show Title | Demo Rating | Projected Ad Rating | +/- | Renew/Cancel Prediction |
| Crazy Ex-Girlfriend |
0.29
|
0.46
|
-0.17
|
Cancel |
| Jane the Virgin | ~0.65 (W18-34) |
0.50
|
0.15
|
Renew |
| The Flash |
1.41
|
1.41
|
0.00
|
Renew |
| iZombie |
0.57
|
0.69
|
-0.12
|
Toss Up |
| Arrow | 1.04 |
0.96
|
0.01
|
Renew |
| Supernatural |
0.74
|
0.71
|
0.03
|
Renew |
| The Vampire Diaries | ~ 0.84 (W18-34) |
0.90
|
-0.06
|
Renew |
| The Originals | ~0.59 (W18-34) |
0.65
|
-0.06
|
Renew |
| Reign | 0.30 |
0.39
|
-0.09
|
Renew |
FOX
| Show Title | Demo Rating | Projected Ad Rating | +/- | Renew/Cancel Prediction |
| Bob’s Burgers | 1.16 (M18-34) |
0.77
|
0.39
|
Already Renewed |
| The Simpsons | 2.04 (M18-34) |
1.82
|
0.22
|
Already Renewed |
| Brooklyn 9-9 | 1.49 (M18-34) |
1.43
|
0.06
|
Renew |
| Family Guy | 1.66 (M18-34) |
1.68
|
-0.02
|
Renew |
| The Last Man On Earth | 1.23 (M18-34) |
1.33
|
-0.10
|
Toss Up |
| Gotham |
1.51
|
1.85
|
-0.34
|
Renew |
| Minority Report |
0.71
|
1.75
|
-1.04
|
Cancel |
| Grandfathered |
1.06
|
1.28
|
-0.22
|
Toss Up |
| The Grinder |
0.91
|
1.25
|
-0.34
|
Cancel |
| Scream Queens | ~1.10 (W18-34) |
1.69
|
-0.59
|
Cancel |
| Rosewood |
1.63
|
1.05
|
0.58
|
Renew |
| Empire | ~5.50 (W18-34) |
3.48
|
2.02
|
Renew |
| Bones |
1.14
|
1.08
|
0.06
|
Renew |
| Sleepy Hollow |
0.91
|
1.42
|
-0.51
|
Cancel |
NBC
| Show Title | Demo Rating | Projected Ad Rating | +/- | Renew/Cancel Prediction |
| Blindspot |
2.32
|
2.18
|
0.14
|
Renew |
| Chicago Fire |
1.86
|
1.62
|
0.18
|
Renew |
| The Mysteries of Laura |
1.11
|
0.78
|
0.33
|
Renew |
| Law & Order: SVU |
1.64
|
0.98
|
0.66
|
Renew |
| Chicago PD |
1.50
|
1.36
|
0.14
|
Renew |
| Heroes: Reborn |
1.35
|
1.47
|
-0.12
|
Toss Up |
| The Blacklist |
1.50
|
2.07
|
-0.57
|
Renew |
| The Player |
0.83
|
1.19
|
-0.36
|
Cancel |
| Undateable |
0.77
|
0.55
|
0.22
|
Renew |
| Truth be Told |
0.63
|
0.95
|
-0.32
|
Cancel |
| Grimm |
0.93
|
1.15
|
-0.22
|
Toss Up |
UPDATE 1/2: Chicago Med's estimated number is a 1.38, which is WAY below the 2.03 it has right now.
There you have it! What shows would you renew or cancel based on this list?
There you have it! What shows would you renew or cancel based on this list?