NBC Renew/Cancel Week 5: Redemption for The Blacklist?

After a week off, the NBC Renew/Cancel returns with a new entry as The Blacklist makes a late-fall debut on the Peacock network. Keep reading for my initial thoughts on this long-running veteran.

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation: 
Ordinary Joe (0.39, 0.31-0.52)

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal:
The Blacklist (0.39)

Likely Renewal:
La Brea (0.64, 0.55-0.77)
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.59, 0.50-0.67)

Certain Renewal:

Already Renewed:
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
Law & Order: SVU
New Amsterdam

Already Canceled/Final Season:
This Is Us

Coming Soon:
American Auto
The Endgame
Grand Crew
Mr. Mayor
The Thing About Pam
Young Rock

The Blacklist: After an outright disastrous eighth season that ended with a 0.2 on finale night, season nine of The Blacklist doesn't really look that bad. The 0.39 it got on premiere night makes it the lowest-rated 8 PM show on any big four network, but it could have probably been worse, seeing how low it went last season. It's clear at this point that the show is not being kept around for its ratings, but having ratings that aren't entirely abysmal can only help its case. While the show is definitely nearing its run (it's in season nine, after all), there's not a ratings reason to expect NBC to cancel it this season, not when they've put up with ratings at this level for a few seasons now. If it ends, it's either due to creatives deciding to end it or some sort of streaming deal causing the show to not be profitable for the network anymore. I can't predict either of those things, and therefore it LEANS RENEWAL.

Ordinary Joe: While the show was looking completely dead after week three's plunge to 0.3-land, it enjoyed a respectable week four bounce to a 0.45, leaving me to wonder if my downgrade the week prior was premature. When it remained in the 0.4 range the next week, I started to think that the show didn't really look all that horrendous for a 10 PM time slot occupant. Then, the next week, it went back down to a 0.3. I don't see any incentive for NBC to renew a show performing that terribly behind one of TV's top shows, and with the show seemingly not receiving a backorder, it feels foolish to expect anything other than cancellation. NBC certainly doesn't need this show, and based on the ratings, I don't know why they'd want it, either. It stays a LIKELY CANCELLATION.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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