Fox Renew/Cancel #1: New Dramas To Make ’The Big Leap’ To Cancellation

 Predictions for 10/03/21

Photo Credit: Fox

Below are the first renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2021-22 television season. Two new dramas have premiered thus far but both are well below the network's returning players in the Adults 18-49 demographic. As always, only scripted programming will be taken into account in this column. 


9-1-1: In winter and spring 2021, '9-1-1' was a series that consistently remained at or above a 1.0 rating. Though it dipped below that number a couple times, it closed out the season with a sturdy 1.05 in the Adults 18-49 demographic. That past success is what makes the 0.76 rating it posted for its return so disappointing. Though it garnered a new series low and was nearly 40% behind its season four start, the Ryan Murphy drama is in no danger at all. The performance of '9-1-1' may be lackluster when compared to where it was before but it's still eons above any other scripted Fox program. The uptick in week two to a sturdier 0.85 confirms that '9-1-1' is definitely here to stay. Consider it a lock for season six. Status: CERTAIN RENEWAL

The Resident: This fifth-season medical drama seems to have taken the place of what Bones used to be to the Fox network in the early 2010s. It's clearly not strong enough to launch a show but it keeps Fox semi-competitive on Tuesday nights. With how poorly their new programs have performed out the gate, this veteran should have at least one more season in it. If one of the freshman dramas had excelled, 'The Resident' may have ended up on the wrong side of the bubble. For the time being though, a 0.5 rating is on-par with last spring and should be just enough for it to score another pickup. The drop to a 0.43 is a bit concerning but it remains above the freshmen offerings and should be able to secure another batch of episodes. Status: LIKELY RENEWAL

Our Kind of People: Fox's Tuesday-night newcomer posted an unsatisfactory 0.35 rating for its series premiere, putting it in peril on day one. Despite that, it only lost a mere hundredth in week two, posting a 0.34 rating and only going a tenth below its Resident lead-in. Though this is certainly not the train wreck that The Big Leap is, it's still essentially a dud for the Fox network. If it's able to grow or hold steady, it might just be upgraded to "Tossup" status. But, until more data is available, Our Kind of People is not likely to be back for season two. Status: LIKELY CANCEL

The Big Leap: Words cannot describe how awful of a performer this new drama is. It posted a pathetic 0.29 rating for its series premiere, losing well over 60% of the '9-1-1' audience. 'Big Leap' followed that up by sinking to a 0.25 for its latest installment, this time dropping more than 70% of its '9-1-1' lead-in. This type of performance definitely makes it a candidate for being removed from its slot or pulled off the air altogether. Unless a streaming service resurrects it, 'Big Leap' will not make it past its initial order. Status: LIKELY CANCEL

The Animation Block: 'The Simpsons', 'The Great North', 'Bob's Burgers', and 'Family Guy' have all been renewed for multiple seasons, meaning the entire lineup will be back for the 2022-2023 season regardless of how they perform this year. For what it's worth, 'Great North' seems like a much stronger player than 'Bless the Harts' was last season. 'Simpsons' continues to soak up the NFL lead-ins but can barely even clear the 1.0 threshold with the boost nowadays. 'Bob's and 'Family Guy' hold the fort down nicely in the 9pm hour and will likely come out looking stronger than 'Simpsons' on nights without football help. They may underwhelm without NFL in the picture but they're not going anywhere anytime soon. Status: RENEWED

What do you think of these predictions? As always, leave your thoughts in the comment section below.


Which Fox cartoon will post the highest rating on Sunday, October 3rd?
The Simpsons
The Great North
Bob's Burgers
Family Guy
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