NBC Renew/Cancel Week 4: La Brea Can’t Catch a La Brea-k

This week on the NBC Renew/Cancel, it's a science fiction double feature, as the focus goes to La Brea and Quantum Leap. Keep reading for updates on these two shows!

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal:
La Brea (0.44, 0.38-0.49)
Quantum Leap (0.39, 0.34-0.47)

Likely Renewal:
Law & Order (0.51, 0.44-0.60)
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.51, 0.41-0.62)

Certain Renewal:
Chicago Fire (0.71, 0.68-0.77)
Chicago Med (0.67, 0.64-0.70)
Chicago PD (0.67, 0.66-0.68)
Law & Order: SVU (0.59, 0.53-0.69)
Saturday Night Live (0.73, 0.73-0.73)

Already Canceled/Final Season:
New Amsterdam

Coming Soon:
American Auto
The Blacklist
Grand Crew
Lopez vs. Lopez
Night Court
Untitled Mike O'Malley Comedy
Young Rock 

La Brea: While it was never an incredible performer, La Brea has consistently been a solid player for NBC. Reliable, sturdy shows like it are clearly beneficial in a time where so many broadcast shows are outright bombs. 0.4 is right in-line with the league average, and league average shows seldom get canceled. However, La Brea has gotten progressively less impressive as the season goes along, hitting a new series low that is actually slightly below the expected league average. Those declines are coming at a time where Quantum Leap is improving. While there is probably still space on the schedule for both of these sci-fi shows, it's very possibly that NBC will decide to only go with one of these average players, and that leaves La Brea in some degree of danger, given its large expenses. It will have to stop the gradual slide in order to keep itself in contention. As of now, it remains a renewal favorite and LEANS RENEWAL.

Quantum Leap: This week, NBC ordered a few more episodes of its Monday night sci-fi series, bringing its episode total to eighteen episodes, nearly a full season. While shows with backorders get canceled plenty of the time, it's nonetheless a good sign that NBC ordered more of the show. While they don't have a ton of shows on the bench, there are clearly enough shows in production that they could've filled this slot with something else if they so desired. The last show to air in this slot and receive a backorder, Manifest, was renewed (and its backorder was for less episodes). While it's still too early in the show's run to say how things will pan out, ratings-wise, its recent 0.4s have been a good sign, making it the top NBC drama that does not come from Dick Wolf. It continues to LEAN RENEWAL, which I was honestly not anticipating after its harsh week two drop.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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