FOX Renew/Cancel Watch: Lucifer and Last Man On Earth Now Certain Renewals

The Ratings Junkie

Canceled	Certatin to be Canceled	Likely to be Canceled	Watching	Likely to be Renewed	Certain to be Renewed	Certain to be Renewed on Some Platform	Renewed
Minority Report	Cooper Barrett’s Guide to Surviving Life	Bordertown	Rosewood	The X-Files	Family Guy	Brooklyn 9-9	The Simpsons
	The Grinder	Grandfathered	Sleepy Hollow		The Last Man On Earth		Bob’s Burgers
	Second Chance				Lucifer		Empire
					New Girl		Scream Queens
							Bones
							Gotham

Why Is Lucifer A Certain Renewal?

FOX

After much time in the "Likely to be Renewed" category, I have decided to bump Lucifer up to a certain renewal. Given that FOX has already renewed low-rated Scream Queens and Bones, and the
fact that Lucifer is fitting like a glove with fellow DC drama Gotham in a spot that isn't a surefire for success, I think it's safe to say that the show will be coming back. Much like Quantico on ABC, even though the ratings aren't the best in the world, since I can't really picture a scenario without it on the schedule, why not make it a certain renewal? It has lost a lot of its audience since the premiere, but it's managed of not being in danger of going fractional on a network where that is starting to be the norm.

Why Is The Last Man On Earth A Certain Renewal?

At this point, FOX really needs The Last Man On Earth, and for several reasons:

-It has yet to go fractional, and kept all its audience from the midseason premiere

-Only 5 of 10 FOX comedies can boast that they aren't consistently fractional

-FOX seemingly has an excellent relationship at the time with executive producers Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. Their production company, Lord Miller Productions, has a series order for Son of Zorn and it's been reported that FOX is very high on the Making History script, which now has a pilot order and is also from them

-It receives a solid amount of critical buzz. Some say that doesn't matter, but it can.

-FOX owns the show

-Even being one of the higher-rated L+SD FOX comedies, only about 40% of the audience watches live. There are still a lot of people out there watching it online, which is also now a monetized television platform.

-It has a relatively young audience of M18-34, which is a highly-coveted, hard-to-reach demographic

FOX

Some of the reasons may be more valid than others, but I think signs are pointing towards a renewal
for The Last Man On Earth. I expect to see it on the schedule next season. Whether that be in the fall or not remains to be seen, but I see this as a staple FOX comedy next to New Girl and the animations sans Bordertown.