NBC Renew/Cancel Watch: 'Heartbeat' Certain to be Canceled

Week 27

KEY

Show title (Average adults 18-49 rating to the nearest tenth / Most recent rating)

[F] - Indicates a Friday-night show, which will typically have lower ratings
[O] - Indicates an NBC-owned show, which will typically have a higher chance at renewal

CANCELED

Heroes Reborn (1.3 / 1.0) [O]
The Player (0.8 / 0.8)
Truth Be Told (0.6 / 0.4) [F][O]
You, Me and the Apocalypse (0.7 / 0.6)

CERTAIN TO BE CANCELED

Heartbeat (1.2 / 0.9)

LIKELY TO BE CANCELED

The Mysteries of Laura (1.1 / 1.2)
Telenovela (1.0 / 0.9) [O]
Undateable (0.8 / 0.8) [F]

ON THE BUBBLE

Crowded (1.4 / 1.0) [O]

LIKELY TO BE RENEWED

The Carmichael Show (1.2 / 1.3)
Grimm (0.9 / 0.9) [F][O]

CERTAIN TO BE RENEWED

None

RENEWED

The Blacklist (1.5 / 1.3)
Blindspot (2.1 / 1.5)
Chicago Fire (1.8 / 1.6) [O]
Chicago Med (1.8 / 1.5) [O]
Chicago P.D. (1.6 / 1.4) [O]
Law & Order: SVU (1.7 / 1.5) [O]
Shades of Blue (1.2 / 1.0) [O]
Superstore (1.5 / 1.4) [O]

ANALYSIS

Heartbeat premiered to a modest 1.4 rating following The Voice on Tuesday, but dropped to a not-so-modest 0.9 on Wednesday. Because Heartbeat already went fractional in its second episode, I have decided to skip the "bubble" stage and immediately label it as "certain to be canceled." Does NBC now wish it gave The Mysteries of Laura a full-season order? Probably. Does The Mysteries of Laura now have a shot at renewal? Not so fast...but maybe. It isn't "certain to be canceled," just "likely"...

Also, you may have noticed that I moved The Carmichael Show up to "likely to be renewed." After two weeks of performing decently behind Little Big Shots, I thought this move was only fair. Even though it's not saying much, TCS is NBC's #2 comedy. With that AND critical acclaim, I think it's safe to say that TCS definitely has more than a 50% shot at renewal.

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