NBC Renew/Cancel Week 7: Manifesting A Renewal for Manifest

NBC was mostly quiet in fall, with most of its shows either being clear renewals or clear cancellations. However, things are finally getting interesting now as multiple new shows enter the fray, including sophomore Manifest and newbie Lincoln Rhyme. Keep reading for initial predictions and analysis of these shows, and a few others.

Certain Cancellation:
Bluff City Law (0.6)

Likely Cancellation: 
Perfect Harmony (0.4)

Leans Cancellation:
The Blacklist (0.5)
Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt For the Bone Collector (0.6)

Leans Renewal: 

Likely Renewal:
Law & Order: SVU (0.7)
Manifest (0.8)

Certain Renewal:
Chicago Fire (1.2)
Chicago PD (1.1)
Chicago Med (1.2)
Saturday Night Live (1.3)
Superstore (0.7)

Already Renewed:
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
New Amsterdam
This Is Us

Already Canceled/Final Season:
The Good Place
Will & Grace

Coming Soon:
Council of Dads
Good Girls
Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist

Manifest: It was one of the biggest new shows of the previous season, but Manifest was always going to be in a difficult position in season two. It didn't make the fall schedule and thus spent nearly a year off the air, which isn't usually very helpful for such a serialized show such as this one. Considering how frontloaded season one was, it was never going to come close to its first season average this time around. However, it's performing pretty respectfully out of a heavily down AGT: The Champions, and is currently averaging a 0.8, higher than fall freshman flop Bluff City Law and higher than all but three 10 PM shows on broadcast. This is a show that tends to drop as the season goes along, so it could easily find itself pulling cancel-worth numbers in a few months. However, for right now, I don't know if NBC would want to let it go. It enters as a LIKELY RENEWAL.

New Amsterdam: NBC renewed its This Is Us lead-out show this week for three additional seasons. I was expecting a renewal, though I will admit that I didn't see such a pickup coming for the show. It would've started next season as a certain renewal, and is a correct prediction for this season.

Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist: Even though it's already premiered, I won't be giving Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist a prediction until its timeslot premiere in February. I don't think that a preview a month ahead of the actual premiere on a night that hasn't aired is a good indicator of how it will actually perform.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments below and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!

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