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Anna Faris, Allison Janney ("Mom") | CBS |
Welcome to the
CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All in-season, scripted primetime shows airing on CBS in the 2017-18 season are included in the prediction table below. My current predictions are current as of
November 27, 2017.
The key to the right indicates the colors associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes current season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows. The shows are ordered by their season averages against other scripted CBS shows.
Rank
|
Show
|
Season Low / High /Average
|
Y2Y Change
|
1
|
The Big Bang Theory
|
2.6 / 4.1 / 2.99
|
-4%
|
2
|
Young Sheldon
|
2.1 / 3.8 / 2.58
|
--
|
3
|
Mom
|
1.4 / 1.8 / 1.54
|
+8%
|
4
|
NCIS
|
1.4 / 1.6 / 1.43
|
-17%
|
5
|
Kevin Can Wait
|
1.1 / 2.3 / 1.41
|
-16%
|
6
|
Life In Pieces
|
1.1 / 1.3 / 1.21
|
-4%
|
7
|
Bull
|
1.0 / 1.3 / 1.18
|
-17%
|
8
|
SEAL Team
|
0.9 / 1.5 / 1.14
|
--
|
9
|
9JKL
|
0.8 / 1.5 / 1.09
|
--
|
10
|
Criminal Minds
|
0.9 / 1.3 / 1.06
|
-24%
|
11
|
S.W.A.T.
|
0.9 / 1.1 / 1.04
|
--
|
12
|
Hawaii Five-0
|
0.9 / 1.1 / 1.02
|
-10%
|
13
|
NCIS: New Orleans
|
1.0 / 1.1 / 1.01
|
-14%
|
-
|
Me, Myself & I
|
0.7 / 1.6 / 1.01
|
--
|
15
|
Man with a Plan
|
- / 1.0 / 1.00
|
-19%
|
16
|
Blue Bloods
|
0.9 / 1.1 / 0.96
|
-23%
|
-
|
Wisdom of the Crowd
|
0.7 / 1.3 / 0.96
|
--
|
18
|
NCIS: LA
|
0.8 / 1.3 / 0.95
|
-27%
|
19
|
Superior Donuts
|
0.8 / 1.0 / 0.93
|
-21%
|
20
|
MacGyver
|
0.8 / 0.9 / 0.84
|
-22%
|
21
|
Scorpion
|
0.7 / 1.0 / 0.83
|
-31%
|
22
|
Madam Secretary
|
0.6 / 0.8 / 0.67
|
-23%
|
Mom, Young Sheldon, Life In Pieces
CBS may have some trouble with its comedy line-up on Monday, but Thursdays are looking relatively strong so far. The Big Bang Theory finally has a lead-out that is holding its own for more than an episode or two. It's obvious that the network wants to groom Young Sheldon to replace the hole left behind by The Big Bang Theory when it leaves the air in the near future, and the ratings have shown that audiences have given the spinoff solid consideration so far. Mom is actually up 8 percent from last year at this point, thanks to Sheldon, and is holding well in the 9pm hour. It realistically won't face much trouble until the end of its presumptive sixth season, which is when Mike & Molly and 2 Broke Girls were both let go. Life In Pieces is doing about as well as it can at 9:30 and benefits from being in its third year. It's doing better than three of the four Monday comedies, so it should be totally safe this year.
Man with a Plan
It was only a matter of time before the Matt LeBlanc comedy joined the Monday block once more, and the call came after Me, Myself & I and 9JKL failed to take off. With the former pulled from the schedule and effectively cancelled, and the latter expected to ride out its 16-episode order quietly, CBS is probably looking to keep this one around. It produced 22 episodes in its first season, which gives it an advantage over Superior Donuts' 13. Out of the four Monday comedies, my bet is on Man with a Plan being the second strongest asset in CBS's eyes, and if they keep more than Kevin Can Wait after this year, I expect Man to join it.
Superior Donuts
Donuts is one show that is heavily toeing the line between the bubble and likely renewal. It's doing fine for the 9:00 hour, down slightly from what Kevin was doing a few weeks ago but on a night without the inflation of The Big Bang Theory. It's stronger than its lead-out, but it becomes a question of how much CBS wants to keep going into next season. It's a little early to say, so I'm keeping my eye on it. The network didn't cancel much last season and gave this little show a chance to improve in a fall position, so I'd say it's hopeful to cross the line into renewal territory in the future.
Wisdom of the Crowd
The freshman tech/cop drama has been effectively cancelled by CBS and is reflected as such in the table. This was a correct prediction.
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