The Relative Ratings Targets
| Show | Ad Rate | RELATIVE |
| Bob's Burgers | 65019 | 53 |
| The Simpsons | 155838 | 126 |
| Son of Zorn | 126053 | 102 |
| Family Guy | 129428 | 105 |
| The Last Man On Earth | 101895 | 83 |
| Gotham | 122680 | 99 |
| Lucifer | 111063 | 90 |
| Brooklyn Nine-Nine | 101803 | 82 |
| New Girl | 102329 | 83 |
| Scream Queens | 121438 | 98 |
| Lethal Weapon | 164853 | 134 |
| Empire | 442413 | 358 |
| Rosewood | 71881 | 58 |
| Pitch | 95728 | 78 |
| Hell's Kitchen | 77561 | 63 |
| The Exorcist | 50551 | 41 |
| Making History | 81035 | 66 |
| 24: Legacy | 138720 | 112 |
| APB | 115128 | 93 |
| The Mick | 103573 | 84 |
| Bones | 96459 | 78 |
| Shots Fired | 140132 | 113 |
| Star | 240572 | 195 |
| Prison Break | 131766 | 107 |
| Kicking and Screaming | 102516 | 83 |
| MasterChef Junior | 86609 | 70 |
| Sleepy Hollow | 56860 | 46 |
The Relative Ratings
The Table
So the relative ratings didn't get Rosewood right, but that's just like The Mysteries of Laura and Undateable last season, adding further evidence that it doesn't work well for sophomore shows. Nevertheless I did downgrade it to a cancelation recently so it was a correct prediction. That leaves for 10 correct predictions with 13 series left in limbo, as of this writing.
Those Live Action Comedies
FOX's trio of live action comedies (New Girl/Brooklyn Nine-Nine/The Last Man On Earth) is in my opinion the hardest thing to predict aside from ABC's Once Upon a Time/SHIELD/Quantico situation. Of all those shows, I think New Girl has the least chance of getting a new season. Last Man On Earth is probably coming back because of relations with Lord Miller Productions, who is expected to lost both of their new shows this season, not to mention that they own the show. Additionally, Brooklyn Nine-Nine will almost certainly get a 5th season for the sake of its syndication deal. That would put New Girl in a tough place, given that they also have the animated trio and The Mick renewed.
However, Brooklyn Nine-Nine's 5th season may not air on FOX, as they won't have nearly as much to benefit from it as does NBC Universal and TBS. Therefore, I think a move to Hulu and/or TBS is very much possible. If it does happen, that's still a correct prediction. Ditto with The Last Man On Earth, which I could see going to the niche FXX network, given that it's a serialized show whose ratings probably aren't about to rise any time soon. In fact, if Son of Zorn didn't collapse without football I'm not sure we'd even be talking about chances for Last Man On Earth.
The Rest
I can see FOX brining back 24: Legacy for PR purposes, though it may not be next season. The same goes with Prison Break, whose revival I consider to be more successful. With the cancelation of Rosewood,
UPDATE
FOX has cleaned up Fridays with Rosewood and Sleepy Hollow now officially canceled. It's tough to tell if this means similarly-rated The Exorcist is a goner too, or if this means there's more schedule space for it. Stay tuned, but for now it's still in the renewal predicted category.
What do you think? Let us know in the comments below!