NBC Renew/Cancel Week 20: American Auto Speeds into the Pole Position

This week on the NBC Renew/Cancel, I take a further look at the networks battered comedy department, particularly the pair of 8 PM comedies that have aired on Tuesdays this year - American Auto and Young Rock.

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:
The Endgame (0.28, 0.18-0.46)
Kenan (0.31, 0.22-0.37)
Transplant (0.14, 0.13-0.20)

Leans Cancellation:
Grand Crew (0.31, 0.25-0.40)

Leans Renewal:
Mr. Mayor (0.31, 0.27-0.35)

Likely Renewal:
American Auto (0.37, 0.27-0.50)
Young Rock (0.39, 0.32-0.51)

Certain Renewal:
Law & Order (0.54, 0.44-0.74)
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.55, 0.44-0.67)
Saturday Night Live (0.90, 0.80-1.04)

Already Renewed:
The Blacklist
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
La Brea
Law & Order: SVU
New Amsterdam

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Ordinary Joe
The Thing About Pam (miniseries)
This Is Us

American Auto: By no means was this new workplace comedy a hit for NBC. However, the show has a real shot at being NBC's #1 comedy this season (or, at worst, a very-close runner-up), due to the utter collapse of all three sophomore comedies. American Auto is likely less costly than Young Rock (as that show stars film star Dwayne Johnson), and is created by Justin Spitzer, who created Superstore and has an overall deal with NBC. Though its ratings are below most other broadcast comedies (it would be CBS's lowest-rated comedy and ABC's second-lowest), it has probably done enough to at least be given a second shot by NBC. Though I had doubts in the past, the underperformance of both subsequent NBC Tuesday comedies has caused me to believe that American Auto isn't in all that much danger. It's a LIKELY RENEWAL.

Young Rock: After an outright-disastrous outing last week, Young Rock rallied this week all the way to a still highly-mediocre 0.40 rating. This is similar to the last time the show hit its series low, when it rose to a 0.41 the following week. This is to say that the show is still not a very steady performer, and it may not yet have settled into its low. However, it still remains NBC's top comedy. That's nothing to brag about, but it's also enough evidence for me to say that the show is probably safe this season, much like American Auto. If NBC does cancel any of its comedies, which seems likely, these two are probably the safest. Perhaps their apparent strength is nothing more than a benefit of airing directly behind the local lead-in, but the fact that NBC aired them at 8 over some of their other comedy counterparts suggests that they see more of a future in them. Like American Auto, Young Rock remains a LIKELY RENEWAL in spite of a less-than-stellar performance.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll below!

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