NBC Renew/Cancel Week 13: Debris Likely to Be Discarded

NBC had quite the week, with the return of The Voice and the premiere of new series Debris on Monday and week three of their comedies, a special Voice airing, and the premiere of New Amsterdam on Tuesday. New Amsterdam is already renewed, but read on for my initial prediction for Debris and new thoughts about Young Rock!

Certain Cancellation:
N/A

Likely Cancellation:
Nurses (0.3)

Leans Cancellation:
Debris (0.6)

Leans Renewal:
Kenan (0.6)
Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist (0.5)

Likely Renewal:
Mr. Mayor (0.5)
Young Rock (0.8)

Certain Renewal:
Saturday Night Live (1.4)

Already Renewed:
The Blacklist
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
Law & Order: SVU
New Amsterdam
This Is Us
Transplant

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Connecting...
Superstore

Coming Soon:
Good Girls
Joe Exotic
Law & Order: Organized Crime
Manifest

Debris: The newest in a long line of NBC sci-fi dramas, Debris kicked off on Monday with a 0.6 behind The Voice's 1.1. That's not a horrendous start, considering that most 10 PM dramas are drawing 0.5s or lower this season, but it's also not promising. NBC's history with sci-fi is not good, with most shows in the genre either bombing badly or flaming out quickly. Their most successful recent sci-fi show, Manifest, is entering season thre this season. Even it was a massive flameout, going from a massive hit to a middling player within a single season. Debris is already middling, with unimpressive retention, one episode into its run. I have a hard time envisioning it as a long-term player. NBC has the most packed lineup of all, with very few slots ever open on their schedule, particularly in the fall. I highly doubt that they're going to keep Debris around, especially if that would mean a year-long break. It's hard to see that being worth it for them. Even with renewable ratings so far, it starts as LEANS CANCELLATION.

Young Rock: After a big week two drop last week, Young Rock didn't stop the bleeding this week, and it sunk to a weak 0.7 (or a 0.66, to be precise). That's still quite renewable for NBC, but the trends are deebly worrisome. A ratings trend of 1.01-0.77-0.66 seems to show that the audience is rejecting the show, and that isn't good at all for NBC, which needs a strong comedy more than any other network. What started as a hit is now looking like a middling performer, likely to settle at numbers on par with or even lower than Mr. Mayor, depending on how the next eight episodes go. It's taking a week off, so it'll be two more weeks until we can see how much more of the audience it sheds. For now, though, I'm downgrading it to a LIKELY RENEWAL. I don't feel comfortable putting a freshman series in freefall as a certain renewal anymore.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!