Reality Renew/Cancel Part 4: Mixed News for The Masked Dancer, Celebrity Wheel of Fortune, The Hustler, The Chase, Name That Tune & Others

There have been many new reality shows debuting on broadcast in the past few weeks, and it's a good time to look at where they stand ratings-wise and give my initial predictions for all of them. Keep reading for my thoughts on The Masked Dancer, Celebrity Wheel of Fortune, The Hustler and more!

Certain Cancellation:
Cosmos

Likely Cancellation: 
Card Sharks

Leans Cancellation:
48 Hours: Suspicion
The Con
Greatest #AtHome Videos
Who Wants To Be A Millionaire

Leans Renewal:
The Christmas Caroler Challenge
Ellen's Game of Games
The Masked Dancer
Supermarket Sweep
The Wall

Likely Renewal:
The Hustler
Name That Tune
Undercover Boss
Weakest Link

Certain Renewal:
20/20
48 Hours
60 Minutes
American Ninja Warrior
America's Funniest Home Videos
The Bachelor
The Bachelorette
Big Brother
Celebrity Family Feud
Celebrity Wheel of Fortune
The Chase
Dancing with the Stars
Dateline NBC
I Can See Your Voice
Match Game
Press Your Luck
Shark Tank
Whose Line Is It Anyway?

Already Renewed:
The Amazing Race
Hell's Kitchen
The Great Christmas Light Fight
The Masked Singer
Penn & Teller: Fool Us
The Voice
World's Funniest Animals

Coming Soon:
The $100,000 Pyramid
Beat Shazam
Come Dance With Me
Ellen's Greatest Night of Giveaways
The FBI Declassified
Generation Gap
Home Sweet Home
LEGO Masters
Making It
MasterChef
MasterChef Junior
Mental Samurai
Small Fortune
Survivor
That's My Jam
True Story
Who Do You Think You Are?


Celebrity Wheel of Fortune: In the vein of last year's Jeopardy miniseries, ABC brought Wheel of Fortune to primetime in an hour-long format, this time with celebrities. Though it isn't by far the #1 show on TV like Jeopardy GOAT was, Celebrity Wheel has been a very strong player in its two episodes aired thus far. It grew a miniscule amount in week two, going from a 1.16 to a 1.17. That's nearly double the league average, making Celebrity Wheel a force to be reckoned with. Though it has yet to face competition from CBS's Young Sheldon, which likely aims for a similar audience, it had a lot of room to fall. It's not going to hit cancel-wortyh numbers this season, and is a CERTAIN RENEWAL.

The Chase: Perhaps it's just been riding on its big hit lead-in, but ABC's revival of GSN's The Chase has drawn in large crowds of its own. Featuring host Sara Haines (from The View) and Jeopardy's three all-time greatest champions, the show also perhaps drew a strong sampling thanks to its featuring of faces familiar to ABC audiences. Either way, audiences seemed to like what they saw, given its solid week-two hold. Like Celebrity Wheel, it's hard to imagine it dropping so dramatically that it'll be in cancel-worthy territory. It's a CERTAIN RENEWAL.

The Hustler: The lowest-rated of ABC's Thursday game show trio, The Hustler had a pretty weak post-Bachelor debut, but flourished behind a more compatible series. Its 0.7 timeslot premiere was a very strong start for a 10 PM series, and its 0.6 in week two wasn't too shabby, either. It could certainly lose a few more tenths and look more endangered, but right now it looks okay. Only time will tell, so it's a LIKELY RENEWAL for now.

Name That Tune: Airing behind The Masked Dancer, Tune has been a solid player in its two episodes. I don't have much data to judge it on, but with Fox being an absolute disaster in the fall, Tune looks like a solid new entry for them. It's rating higher than their Sunday cartoons, Tuesday dramas, and Thursday comedies, despite likely being much cheaper than all of them. It was steady from week to week, and is holding on to nearly all of its lead-in. It's a LIKELY RENEWAL.

The Masked Dancer: The Masked Dancer is a spinoff of one of TV's highest-rated shows, The Masked Singer. As such, the expectations for it were higher than the average midseason reality premiere. It hasn't exactly dazzled in the ratings with 0.7s for both epsiodes that it aired in its timeslot, but it's holding down the fort until Masked Singer returns in a few months. Fox could decide to keep it as a one-season thing in fear of Masked overexposure, but the show seems solid enough to earn a renewal. It LEANS RENEWAL.

The Bachelor: It's no surprise that ABC's hit reality series returned this month with strong ratings that make it the #4 show on TV (#2 among shows without NFL boosts). It may be down, but it has so much life left in it. It's a clear CERTAIN RENEWAL.

Supermarket Sweep: It didn't premiere since our last update, but it did end its season very recently. A solid performer at the start, this game show took a mighty drop midway through and became a very middling performer, with 0.5s at 8 PM. It's arguably the strongest of a disastrous game show Sunday lineup for ABC, but I'm still not as confident in a renewal and I'm downgrading it to LEANS RENEWAL, where it likely will remain for the rest of the season.

What do you think of this news? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll below!

Where would you place The Masked Dancer?
Certain Renewal
Likely Renewal
Leans Renewal
Leans Cancellation
Likely Cancellation
Certain Cancellation

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