Certain Cancellation:
Emergence (0.5)
Likely Cancellation:
The Baker & the Beauty (0.5)
Stumptown (0.5)
Leans Cancellation:
Bless This Mess (0.7)
Schooled (0.7)
Leans Renewal:
Mixed-ish (0.6)
Single Parents (0.6)
Likely Renewal:
American Housewife (0.6)
For Life (0.6)
Certain Renewal:
Black-ish (0.6)
The Conners (1.1)
The Goldbergs (0.9)
A Million Little Things (0.7)
The Rookie (0.7)
Already Renewed:
The Good Doctor
Grey's Anatomy
Station 19
Already Canceled/Final Season:
Fresh Off the Boat
How To Get Away With Murder
How To Get Away With Murder
Modern Family
Coming Soon:
United We Fall
The Baker & The Beauty: Expectations for ABC's newest scripted series weren't very high. It had an untested lead-in that's a part of a franchise known for not helping out the shows airing behind it. It was premiering late in the season. It wasn't promoted as heavily as some of ABC's other entries. The 0.5 it pulled on premiere night wasn't a terrible surprise. It is, however, a pretty terrible datapoint. It's likely to drop further. It tied the premiere rating for a Saturday repeat, but with a huge (for Saturday) lead-in, which doesn't really tell us much about the genuine interest in the show from those viewers. Even if it manages to hold steady in week two, I find it hard to believe that it will avoid 0.4s (or even 0.3s when it airs behind repeats) for the entire season. I can't imagine a path to renewal for the show, even if I don't think it's ABC most likely cancellation at the moment. It starts out as a LIKELY CANCELLATION.
What do you think of my predictions? Let me know in the comments below and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!