NBC Renew/Cancel Week 18: Worst Newbie Class Ever?

This week on the NBC Renew/Cancel, I take a special look at NBC's newbie class from this season. Which ones are on the move? Keep reading to find out!

Certain Cancellation:
Indebted (0.4)
Perfect Harmony (0.4)

Likely Cancellation: 
Bluff City Law (0.6)

Leans Cancellation:
Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt For the Bone Collector (0.5)
Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist (0.4)

Leans Renewal: 
Manifest (0.7)

Likely Renewal:
Good Girls (0.4)

Certain Renewal:
Saturday Night Live (1.3)

Already Renewed:
The Blacklist
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
Law & Order: SVU
New Amsterdam
This Is Us

Already Canceled/Final Season:
The Good Place
Will & Grace

Coming Soon:
Council of Dads

Indebted: We'll start out this update with the most unpleasant business of all - the downgrade of Indebted to a CERTAIN CANCELLATION. While just a few weeks ago the show was tying for the top rating for any new NBC comedy (not an impressive feat, in any way), and now it's hitting 0.3s again despite higher viewing levels. I was one of the most positive people out there in regards to this show's chances at renewal, but at this point, it's impossible to not see it as 100% dead and buried.

Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist: Somehow, a show hitting 0.4 on the regular is one of the hardest NBC predictions for me this season. This seems to be the new show that NBC loves the most, hence the huge promo push and featured ads on YouTube. It's not like NBC has any new show that clearly earned a renewal this year, so they either have to renew a huge bomb or cancel all of their new shows and admit total failure. I still expect all of these shows to be canceled, with one perhaps moving to Peacock instead. The numbers for Zoey's tell me it's a likely cancellation, but my gut just tells me that it truly could go either way. It remains in the LEANS CANCELLATION column.

Perfect Harmony: What more is there to say about NBC's only new fall comedy that was allowed to air its full season? I guess it's no longer the single-most-likely cancellation of the season, but that's not really saying much. It hit 0.3 less than Indebted, but didn't do nearly well enough to justify being anything but a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.

Lincoln Rhyme: Nothing has changed for this show since I last wrote an update on it. It's still not a  very strong performer, and NBC doesn't seem to like it much, but I still think it's one of the more likely renewals from this NBC newbie class. Its performance on Friday wasn't notable weaker than most Blacklist performances from the fall, and I don't think bringing it back for another midseason Friday run would be a bad idea, though the long hiatus might lower its already-modest ratings. It still LEANS CANCELLATION.

Bluff City Law: It was the show I was consistently most negative about for some time, but I later became a bit more positive on Bluff City's chances of renewal. It takes quite an imagination to see it making the NBC schedule again, but I have an easier time seeing it back than seeing the two sitcoms back. It's still a LIKELY CANCELLATION. 

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!

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