ABC Renew/Cancel Week 22: Home Economics Headed for Bankruptcy

This week on the ABC Renew/Cancel, I take a further look at the two newest ABC series, Home Economics and Rebel. Plus, I analyze the return of Big Sky and assess its renewal odds now that it appears to have weakened.

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:
Call Your Mother (0.4, 0.3-0.5)
For Life (0.3, 0.3-0.5)

Leans Cancellation:
American Housewife (0.6, 0.4-0.6)
Home Economics (0.5, 0.5-0.6)
Mixed-ish (0.4, 0.3-0.6)
Rebel (0.5)

Leans Renewal:
The Conners (0.6, 0.5-0.9)

Likely Renewal:
The Goldbergs (0.7, 0.6-0.8)
Grey's Anatomy (1.1, 0.9-1.3)
A Million Little Things (0.5, 0.4-0.7)
The Rookie (0.5, 0.4-0.6)

Certain Renewal:
Big Sky (0.6, 0.5-0.7)
Blackish (0.5, 0.3-0.6)
The Good Doctor (0.6, 0.5-0.7)
Station 19 (0.9, 0.8-1.2) 

Home Economics: It was hard to imagine this one ever working out for ABC. It's not that the show itself seemed like a massive bomb. It did have some potential, given that it broke the ABC comedy mold a bit. However, its April debut always felt like it might doom it. If it premiered in fall, in could have developed into a long-term player. This late into the season, though, it's hard to break out. We saw that last week. After a decent (but not big by any means) premiere, the show slid to a 0.4 in week two's preliminary ratings. It adjusted up to a rounded-up 0.5, but even still, it's already nearing the lows of American Housewife just two weeks into its run. I still see a chance for the show to return for a second chance fall run, but that chance will fade with every drop. Two weeks in, I see it as an underdog, but I'll gladly change my mind if it proves to be stronger than I currently suspect it is. It LEANS CANCELLATION.

Rebel: While week one brought bad news for Rebel and (very mildly) good news for Home Economics, it's the other way around this time. The new Thursday drama  had a rock steady second episode, slipping only 0.01 from its series premiere. That may be due to weaker competition, or perhaps thanks to a somewhat higher lead-in. Either way, steadiness in week two is a great sign for a show that really can't afford much post-premiere slippage. I'm certainly not upgrading it this week, but I'm pleasantly surprised by this development and defintiely think it has a shot for a second season. It still LEANS CANCELLATION.

Big Sky: No show had a worse week last week on ABC than Big Sky. Returning from an extended break, the Alphabet Net's most promising freshman series hit a new low, only tying Rebel for its two-hour midseason premiere with a 0.47. This is over a full tenth below its previous low, and needless to say, ABC can't be happy. I was cautious with this show to begin with and only upped it to a CERTAIN RENEWAL after the midseason finale episode, since it was so steady. I'm not downgrading it now, since 0.47 is certainly renewable in its slot, but I may have to consider it if it keeps going lower.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

Where would you place Rebel?
Certain Renewal
Likely Renewal
Leans Renewal
Leans Cancellation
Likely Cancellation
Certain Cancellation

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