New Show Hit/Miss Fall 2016 - Man with a Plan

As the summer has dragged on, this feature has looked ahead to the fall, looking at what factors could cause a show to do well or poorly, to assist in the difficult task of predicting how these shows will perform. This article focuses on what may cause Man with a Plan to succeed or fail.

What May Cause Man With a Plan to be a Hit?

Matt LeBlanc
One of the six stars of hit 90s sitcom Friends, LeBlanc has since starred on Episodes, which has aired four seasons so far, and has one last one coming up. For this show, LeBlanc was nominated for an Emmy four times. He is definitely popular, so he could bring that popularity back to broadcast.

Lack of comedy competition
The shows Man with a Plan will go up against, The Voice, Dancing with the Stars, Gotham, and Supergirl likely won't have much overlap audience with the CBS sitcom. This means there is likely an available audience out there for the show to capture.

Most-watched CBS comedy trailer
In number of trailer views, Man with a Plan beat out fellow CBS new sitcoms Kevin Can Wait and The Great Indoors. This larger awareness could be helpful. That information can be found here.

What May Cause Man with a Plan to be a Miss for CBS?

New show lead-in
Who knows how strong or weak Man with a Plan's lead-in is. The only thing we know is that it is untested, as Kevin Can Wait is also new to CBS this fall.

Incompatible with lead-out
If the lead-in struggles, Man with a Plan at least has a solid lead-out. However, this lead-out is much less compatible, as Man with a Plan has a male star and it revolves around a father, while 2 Broke Girls has, as the title would suggest, two female stars, and the show revolves around a business.

Trailer not well liked
The article referenced earlier also shows us that the trailer of Man with a Plan wasn't well liked. It only beats out two of the other new sitcoms' trailers, and it only barely beats out American Housewife's 74 with its 76 like/dislike ratio.

What to Expect for Man with a Plan?

I think that the negative factors, especially the trailer reception, will outweigh the positive factors, resulting in a low-rated show, though not one rated low enough that it needs to get pulled quickly.

What factors do you think will be most in play in causing Man with a Plan to be a hit or a miss? Leave your thoughts in the comments!

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