NBC Renew/Cancel Week 15: NBC’s Transplant Isn’t Taking


NBC was very busy this week, leading to a longer NBC Renew/Cancel than usual! Keep reading for my initial thoughts on Transplant, my final thoughts on American Auto and Grand Crew, and how I plan to keep deal with The Thing About Pam. Plus, it's game over for one NBC show!

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation: 
Kenan (0.31, 0.22-0.37)
Transplant (0.13)

Leans Cancellation:
The Endgame (0.35, 0.26-0.46)
Grand Crew (0.31, 0.25-0.40)

Leans Renewal:
American Auto (0.37, 0.27-0.50)

Likely Renewal:
Law & Order (0.62, 0.50-0.74)

Certain Renewal:
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.55, 0.48-0.67)
Saturday Night Live (0.94, 0.81-1.04)

Already Renewed:
The Blacklist
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
La Brea
Law & Order: SVU
New Amsterdam

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Ordinary Joe
The Thing About Pam (miniseries)
This Is Us

Coming Soon:
Mr. Mayor
Young Rock

Transplant: A Canadian import picked up in 2020 to fill the NBC schedule amid the unprecedented TV production delays caused by the early days of the COVID pandemic, Transplant wasn't a strong performer for the peacock network, but it did respectably, rating above several far more expensive shows that NBC itself produced. By season two, its become quite clear that NBC sees the show only as filler, throwing it to the abysmal Sunday at 10 PM slot. Airing behind a flop interview of the former US Attorney General, Transplant made history as the lowest-rated scripted rating for any NBC series. While it can't cost much to air this show, NBC has made it clear that they do have *some* standards for this slot, canceling Good Girls last season despite far higher ratings and a large Netflix deal. These ratings are worthy of being pulled from the schedule entirely, and while it's not out of the realm of possibility that NBC will bring it back in a low-priority slot like the one it's in now, I don't see much use for that when repeats would probably do better. It's a LIKELY CANCELLATION on NBC despite already being renewed in Canada.

American Auto: This week, NBC's current Tuesday comedy block wrapped up in anticipation of a new one starting next week. I wouldn't be surprised if we saw neither of them return, but American Auto is probably the more notable of the two this week, ratings-wise. While last week's 0.3 may have been excused as a fluke caused by the State of the Union (which interrupted Auto's airings in some timezones), it got the same 0.3 this week. There was only one episode of the show that was above a rounded 0.4, and it's very easy for me to say that this show is a flop at worst and a huge disappointment at best. Though Superstore was far from a monster hit, especially in later years, American Auto isn't even measuring up to that show's weakest 8 PM airings. I could easily see them cancelling both it and Grand Crew and starting over, but I do still believe that American Auto will squeak out a renewal. For starters, Kenan is even weaker, and is probably NBC's first comedy cut. Grand Crew is also drawing little interest and seems to have less support from NBC than American Auto. Mr. Mayor will likely have some troubles at 8:30 next week, if its Christmas special's ratings are indicative of anything. NBC could easily go into next season with only returning comedy, Young Rock, but I don't think they will, and so I expect that American Auto is given a second (and likely final) chance. It LEANS RENEWAL despite many signs pointing to the contrary.

Grand Crew: As alluded to above, I think the recently-wrapped Grand Crew is one-and-done. Though the show does come from creators that NBC has a working relationship with, the same can be said about every other NBC sitcom, including the one I believe it to be in competition with the most - American Auto. I will say that I don't think American Auto is any stronger than Grand Crew, and Crew would probably rate the same as Auto at 8 PM, but as discussed above, I think American Auto has more going for it. I could see things going the other way, and NBC giving this show a second chance instead, but as of now, Grand Crew LEANS CANCELLATION.

The Thing About Pam: Also notable this week was the premiere of The Thing About Pam, starring Academy Award winner Renee Zellweger. While the show had an OK start in the ratings, it is a miniseries, meaning that as of right now, there's no prospect for a renewal. While miniseries have been renewed in the past, I'm assuming this is a one-and-done for now and won't be predicting it.

Ordinary Joe: As expected, NBC pulled the plug on their flop drama Ordinary Joe earlier this week. It's a bit earlier than I had anticipated the news to come, but it's a correct prediction nonetheless.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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