NBC Renew/Cancel Week 6: So Long, Ordinary Joe

This week on the NBC Renew/Cancel, NBC's newest two shows take center stage yet again. Keep reading for further analysis on Ordinary Joe and La Brea!

Certain Cancellation:
Ordinary Joe (0.37, 0.25-0.52)

Likely Cancellation: 
N/A

Leans Cancellation:
N/A

Leans Renewal:
The Blacklist (0.34, 0.30-0.39)

Likely Renewal:
La Brea (0.60, 0.43-0.77)
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.59, 0.50-0.67)

Certain Renewal:
Saturday Night Live (0.95, 0.82-1.04)

Already Renewed:
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
Law & Order: SVU
New Amsterdam

Already Canceled/Final Season:
This Is Us

Coming Soon:
American Auto
The Endgame
Grand Crew
Kenan
Mr. Mayor
The Thing About Pam
Transplant
Young Rock

Ordinary Joe: There were a few weeks, not so long ago, that this show looked almost acceptable. No longer. Now, Ordinary Joe continues its bid to be one of this season's biggest bombs. Boasting one of the best lead-ins available on television, Ordinary Joe fell this week to a 0.25. Zero. Point. Two. Five. That is awful. That puts it below every episode of every show this season on the Big Four aside from The Big Leap (a certain cancellation) and A Million Little Things (which has a 0.3 lead-in). Combined with pitiful DVR lifts in L+3 and L+7 ratings, there is absolutely no reason for NBC to renew this. It doesn't do well in any metric at all. They don't need a pity renewal to save face, not when they have LA Brea. They certainly don't need it to fill a slot, their schedule is packed. Bringing this back would, in no way, benefit NBC. It's a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.

La Brea: Speaking of La Brea, not a great week for it! Airing behind a low-rated The Voice clip show, it collapsed to a new low of 0.43. That's not ideal for a show that was performing so steadily in the 0.55-0.64 range for the previous four episodes, and it shows that it is most-likely dependent on that Voice lead-in. That's not necessarily bad, as it can at least take advantage of the lead-in, unlike many other shows. Because of that, I have little reason to doubt its renewal this season. Long-term prospects are more worrying if it's completely dependent on The Voice, but as of now, it's one of the very few new shows this season that is doing respectably, and the 0.43 isn't changing that. It's a LIKELY RENEWAL.

What do you think of my predictions? What are you predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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