Summer is over, and now, so is the summer renew/cancel. Keep on reading for my final breakdown on every summer show!
Certain to be Canceled:The Bachelor: The Greatest Seasons - Ever! (0.3)
Being Reuben (0.0)
Hollywood Game Night (0.2)
Labor of Love (0.2)
Likely to be Canceled:
Celebrity Watch Party (0.4)
Game On! (0.5)
Leans Cancellation:
Fridge Wars (0.1)
The Genetic Detective (0.4)
Transplant (0.4)
Leans Renewal:
Bulletproof (0.1)
Dead Pixels (0.1)
Don't (0.6)
Songland (0.6)
Ultimate Tag (0.5)
Likely to be Renewed:
Love Island (0.4)
Certain to be Renewed:
America's Got Talent (0.9)
Big Brother (1.0)
Burden of Truth (0.1)
Celebrity Family Feud (0.8)
Match Game (0.5)
Press Your Luck (0.6)
To Tell The Truth (0.6)
What Would You Do? (0.4)
Fate Determined:
The 100 (Final Season)
Agents of SHIELD (Final Season)
The Baker and The Beauty (Canceled)
Blindspot (Final Season)
Broke (Canceled)
Coroner (Renewed)
Council of Dads (Canceled)
DC's Stargirl (Renewed)
In the Dark (Renewed)
Man with a Plan (Canceled)
Masters of Illusion (Renewed)
Penn & Teller: Fool Us (Renewed)
Roswell, New Mexico (Renewed)
Taskmaster (Canceled)
Tell Me A Story (Renewed)
Tough As Nails (Renewed)
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (Renewed)
America's Got Talent: This was, to put it lightly, a terrible season for America's Got Talent. The show was down a massive amount this season and hit multiple new lows. However, even after those drops, it's one of the top summer shows and is the centerpiece of NBC's summer lineup. It's not the juggernaut it once was, but it's still got a 100% chance of renewal.
The Bachelor: The Greatest Seasons - Ever!: The new Bachelor show on ABC was a big bomb, but that wasn't entirely unexpected. It's a clip show that had no real reason to exist aside from ABC wanting something Bachelor-related on the summer schedule while The Bachelorette was unable to film. With the Bachelor shows back in production, they'll never need this again. Chance of renewal: 0%
Being Reuben: This was a history-making show for The CW. Sadly, the history it was making wasn't' anything good. It's the lowest-rated series in the history of broadcast television. The CW's ratings standards are... not high, but even they have some standards. This is dead. Chance of renewal: 0%
Big Brother: It's spilling over into fall, but I'll make a final call here as well. The long-running summer hit was the #1 show on TV this summer and is extremely, impressively steady. No doubt, it's coming back. Chance of renewal: 100%
Bulletproof: The CW is willing to cancel even cheap acquired shows, and this show has dropped very low this season. I think they'll ultimately pick it up if it's renewed in its home country, but I wouldn't be certain of it. Chance of renewal: 55%
Burden of Truth: This show did OK (I can't believe I'm saying that about a 0.1) for The CW and is renewed in its home country of Canada. Barring an unexpected decision by The CW, they will air season four. Chance of renewal: 99%
Celebrity Watch Party: It's easy to forget that this show existed. It didn't do all that well at all and aired in late spring/early summer. It was acceptable COVID programming that allowed its stars to stay safe at a time where TV production was entirely suspended, but it doesn't seem like something worth bringing back anymore now that shows can film. Chance of renewal: 25%
Dead Pixels: Once slated to be part of The CW's fall lineup, they shifted it to summer later on and it just wrapped up its first season. The show, hailing from the UK, was another weak performer for the network that drew very few viewers, but I think they'll bring it back. It's renewed back home and can't be expensive for them to air. Chance of renewal: 55%
Don't: This game show dropped a decent amount after a nice start, and was ultimately the weakest component of ABC's Thursday lineup. It wasn't a disaster, but it wasn't strong either. However, it seems to be a show that ABC likes a lot. They ran frequent promos for it touting its performance, and have continued to praise it in press releases. Its performance wasn't strong, and I could see it being too costly to continue in the age of COVID, but odds are in its favor. Chance of renewal: 60%
Fridge Wars: Another import on The CW, this time from Canada, this cooking reality show didn't do well for The CW, and unlike others, it's not renewed in Canada yet. Like anything on The CW, you can't count it out yet, but it doesn't seem as likely to return as others. Chance of renewal: 40%
Game On!: One of the new unscripted shows on CBS this summer, Game On!, from James Corden, didn't do very well and lived off the local lead-in, crumbling when moved to 9 PM. The other new reality show that came after it, Tough as Nails, was a mild ratings improvement and is already renewed. Don't expect the same for this one. Chance of renewal: 15%
The Genetic Detective: ABC's new crime docuseries didn't have much to work with lead-in wise, but it still did OK for ABC and averaged a 0.4, in-line with the long-running What Would You Do?, which aired in the same timeslot. I counted it as a big renewal underdog for some time, but it's probably cheap and easy to produce. I won't count on it being back, but it could be. Chance of renewal: 49%
Holey Moley: The golf-themed Wipeout-esque series ended its season recently and seems to be loved by ABC. It's not a big performer, but it is capable of growing from rough performances, as demonstrated this year. It's already casting for season three and ABC aired two specials related to the show, both great signs for its future. Chance of renewal: 95%
Hollywood Game Night: Once an Emmy-winning series with decent ratings, this show lost everything it had going for it this year when it struck out on an Emmy nomination for host Jane Lynch and moved to an undesirable timeslot, resulting in a string of horrendous ratings. With Lynch hosting a Weakest Link revival for NBC, they don't really need this show anymore. Chance of renewal: 10%
Labor of Love: Hosted by Sex and the City's Kristin Davis, this romance series was a pathetic performer for Fox, averaging just 0.2. It was produced in 2017 and there's no reason to believe it has any shot of coming back. Chance of renewal: 0%
Love Island: It's no strong performer, but Love Island has had some decent results in past weeks, growing to a 0.6 on Wednesday. It's liked by CBS, and with growing ratings, it's very likely coming back. Chance of renewal: 70%
Songland: It feels like an eternity since this show aired, but it was really just this summer that it was airing new episodes. It did okay in its airings, and I don't see any real reason to cancel it. It didn't do great, but there's worse that NBC can do. Chance of renewal: 65%
The Titan Games: The Rock's show was a very solid performer, consistently topping Monday nights and holding its ground after a shaky premiere. The Rock can't be cheap, but he has a good relationship with NBCUniversal and there's not much of a reason to believe it won't be back. Chance of renewal: 85%
To Tell The Truth: It has good weeks and bad weeks, but the Anthony Anderson-hosted game show has been a solid performer for ABC and can even grow from bad lead-ins. With that and ABC's strong relationship with Anderson in mind, it's unlikely that it's going anywhere. Chance of renewal: 100%
Ultimate Tag: Fox's new reality show, which aired in a pretty awful timeslot, did respectably for the slot and held its own for the most part. It doesn't seem to be a show Fox cares much about, but I still think it'll be back for another season. Chance of renewal: 51%
The Wall: Before recently, I was thinking that this mistreated game show would be renewed. Its Monday performance was solid and showed promise, even after some wretched performances on Sunday. However, they shelved five episodes of it and now are randomly airing it on Thursdays. This leads me to believe that they want to get rid of these episodes, and I'm downgrading it. Chance of renewal: 45%
