Below is the table for Week 7 of CBS Renew/Cancel, followed by an analysis for key predictions. This week, the following category change was made:
-Fire Country moves from Likely Renew to Certain Renew
Fire Country consistently grows from its lead-in and is proving that the somewhat surprising cancelation of Magnum, P.I. may have been the right decision in the end for CBS. It’s been several weeks now and this show has yet to fall, as quite a few other shows with promising premieres do. I held off on the upgrade to Certain Renew for a week just in the off chance that the NBC comedy premieres hurt S.W.A.T., in turn hurting Fire Country. However, that was not the case, and Fire Country is now undeniably in great shape to score a Season 2. It moves to the Certain Renew category this week, and is the only new show of the 2022-23 season across all networks to currently be in that category.
East New York
CBS tried out East New York in the post-60 Minutes time slot on a football-boosted night, and it managed to hold its own. It’s not as strong as The Equalizer, as it got the same 0.49 A18-49 rating out of a 60 Minutes lead-in that was 0.07 higher than the week before. However, matching the strength of The Equalizer is not the bar for renewal, and East New York proved it can take advantage of the time slot fairly well. It moves up one spot in the rankings because of this. However, there’s still a strong possibility the ratings plummet in the spring, and it doesn’t have the syndication factor that most other CBS shows do. This is what is keeping it in the Leans Renew category.
NCIS: Hawai’i
It seems unfair to move NCIS: Hawai’i down one spot this week, given it didn’t even air a new episode. What’s more, its rerun managed to out-rate that of NCIS (0.22 vs 0.21). The tick downwards is entirely due to East New York and NCIS: Los Angeles having surprisingly good weeks. As an aging franchise with year-to-year declines to show for it, it appears a possibility that CBS will not bring back all three of the NCIS shows next season. If so, they could choose the syndicated Los Angeles over trying to drag Hawai’i to syndication. For now, the latter is predicted to still be the more likely option for the purposes of profitability.
NCIS: Los Angeles
It needs to be noted that NCIS: Los Angeles aired in an earlier time slot than usual and on a football-boosted night. However, a 0.45 A18-49 rating out of a 0.49 is admirable, and proves that NCIS: Los Angeles can still thrive when given the chance. The same could be said for NCIS: New Orleans, though, when it was ruthlessly axed after airing in the Sundays at 10 pm time slot. So far, NCIS: Los Aneles looks like it *deserves* a renewal, but CBS isn’t exactly known to hand out renewals to every veteran show that looks renewable on the surface. Their best bet from a ratings perspective would be to cancel NCIS: Hawai’i instead, but Los Angeles already has more than enough episodes in syndication while NCIS: Hawai’i basically exists for the purposes of getting to syndication. It remains Tilts Cancel for now, but if it manages to grow from East New York in the spring, CBS could be tempted to leave the time slot alone next season.
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