Summer Renew/Cancel - September 16: Final Predictions Summer 2016

The fall season is almost here, beginning on Monday night. This means it's time to wrap up the predictions for the shows that aired this summer. The broadcast networks aired 10 shows this summer, and 5 need to be predicted still. After listing my predictions, I will talk about those six shows in order from the one I am most sure in my prediction on, to the one I am least sure of my prediction on. Thank you for reading summer renew/cancel this season, and I hope you stick with The TV Ratings Guide as we have renew/cancel updates frequently throughout the regular season for each of the five broadcast networks, and many more exciting features!

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average 18-49 rating, season low-season high)

Certain to be Canceled
American Gothic (CBS) (0.5, 0.4-0.7)
Aquarius (NBC) (0.3, 0.2-0.4)
BrainDead (CBS) (0.4, 0.3-0.7)

Likely to be Canceled
Wayward Pines (FOX) (0.7, 0.7-0.9)

Likely to be Renewed
The Night Shift (NBC) (1.0, 0.8-1.2)

Certain to be Renewed

Fate Determined
Beauty and the Beast (CW) FINAL SEASON
Houdini & Doyle (FOX) CANCELED
Mistresses (ABC) CANCELED

Aquarius: 0.2s are not pretty. Aquarius got some last year, but it had been canceled before then. This season, it never went higher than 0.4, and ended up getting double pumped on Saturday. That is not a formula for renewal. Certain to be canceled.

BrainDead: The other show that got moved to the weekend, BrainDead at least got to air on Sundays. But, on Sundays, it got all 0.3s, except for an 0.5 on a boosted night and an 0.4 when airing at 9:00 directly after Big Brother (which leads me to wonder if the show may have benefited from airing at 9:00 on either Sunday or Wednesday, but too late now). Certain to be canceled.

American Gothic: The ratings were not good, and were beneath those of Zoo. Zoo got renewed, and CBS is likely thinking now that summer scripted programming isn't a good idea. Next summer, they will probably just air Zoo, and maybe something that doesn't fit in during the regular season. They don't need American Gothic. Certain to be canceled.

The Night Shift: I was more confident about this show before America's Got Talent came around, but if we look at how the show has done with different lead-ins, it really tells us that this show is largely lead-in independent. The times when it has hit lows this season are when it aired a 9:00 episode or the night it aired up against basketball. With Sony producing this show, a studio known for fighting hard to get its shows renewed, I doubt that NBC would cancel it. However, there is the chance that 1.0s aren't good enough for NBC. But, I doubt that. Likely to be renewed.

Wayward Pines: The most difficult show to predict this summer, Wayward Pines remained a toss-up until the end of its season. After falling in the first couple of weeks, Wayward Pines stayed flat at 0.7, which isn't a great rating, but that stability may cause FOX to reward it, and that isn't too low, like the ratings that Houdini & Doyle got. However, at the end of the day, I think FOX will decide that it isn't worth it to renew a show getting 0.7s. Likely to be canceled.

Thank you for reading summer renew/cancel! What are your predictions?  Leave your thoughts in the comments!

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