Predictions for 10/21/23
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| Photo Credit: Fox |
Below are the latest renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2023-24 television season. The numbers listed in the table mark the Nielsen rating low, average, and high for each respective program in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The "Y2Y (year-to-year) Change" column denotes how much the series has risen or fallen when compared to its average from the previous season. Because of the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes, there is a limited amount of scripted programming this fall. As a result, reality television will now be included in this column.
Kitchen Nightmares: After declining for two weeks straight, 'Kitchen Nightmares' shot up to a 0.35 rating on Monday, October 16. 'Nightmares' tied the season high that it set on premiere night and outpaced the majority of Fox programming for the week. This reboot is doing well enough to survive for more cycles and remains Certain to be Renewed. Fox clearly wants to stay in business with Gordon Ramsay, and 'Kitchen Nightmares' shows why they are so invested in his brand of television.
Snake Oil: 'Snake Oil' followed the 'Kitchen Nightmares' trajectory and was unable to stop its decline during the first three weeks. A solid 0.39 premiere turned into a 0.33 and then a dreadful 0.23. However, the series finally rebounded on Wednesday, October 18. The David Spade vehicle ultimately gained a full tenth and rose back to the 0.33 rating it managed in its second week. This is the type of comeback that the series needed to hold onto the Likely to be Renewed distinction. 'Snake Oil' is definitely much safer than it was a week ago now that it has shown signs of stability and growth.
Name That Tune: 'Celebrity Name That Tune' continues to be one of the weakest shows on a network that is not performing very well to begin with. 'Tune' posted a 0.21 rating on Tuesday, October 17 and was three-hundredths lower than its previous episode. This may be marginally better than the 0.19 it garnered in week two, but the program is still Likely to be Canceled. There is really no need for Fox to keep around their lowest-rated series, especially with animated sitcoms like 'Grimsburg' and 'The Great North' waiting in the wings for a vacant time slot.
Krapopolis: The average of 'Krapopolis' was a 0.55 rating last week but has been adjusted to a 0.64 this time around. This is because the 1-hour premiere that took place on September 24 counts as two separate episodes for the program. As a result, its average is now a tenth higher than it was previously. Once 'Krap' airs more episodes, this number is sure to drop significantly.
Grimsburg: Fox has set the premiere date for animated sitcom 'Grimsburg'. Per Deadline, the series will debut on January 7, 2024 after the NFL doubleheader. This means that the series is all but guaranteed to put up a massive, football-inflated number on premiere night. Anything below a 1.0 rating would be a major disappointment here. It will be interesting to see where Fox decides to schedule this series after the initial launch. It could possibly replace 'Krapopolis' and take over the post-'Simpsons' slot, but Fox could also decide to place it on a night outside of Sundays.
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