ABC Renew/Cancel Week 12: If There’s a Will Trent, There’s a Way

The holidays are over, and broadcast shows are back, which means it's time for the ABC Renew/Cancel to make its return. This week, there's an all-new Tuesday lineup to analyze, so keep rating for my thoughts on ABC's winter gamble.

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:
Alaska Daily (0.24, 0.17-0.32)

Leans Cancellation:
Big Sky (0.25, 0.19-0.31)
The Goldbergs (0.38, 0.34-0.44)
Home Economics (0.35, 0.30-0.41)

Leans Renewal:
The Good Doctor (0.32, 0.25-0.39)
Will Trent (0.38)

Likely Renewal:
The Rookie: Feds (0.28, 0.21-0.44)

Certain Renewal:
Abbott Elementary (0.50, 0.46-0.58)
The Conners (0.52, 0.46-0.61)
Grey's Anatomy (0.49, 0.40-0.55)
The Rookie (0.36, 0.27-0.64)
Station 19 (0.49, 0.44-0.53)

Already Canceled/Ending:
A Million Little Things

Coming Soon:
The Company You Keep
Not Dead Yet
The Wonder Years

Will Trent: Last week, ABC debuted a new Tuesday lineup, which featured the union of the two Rookie shows and, at the end of the night, the new drama Will Trent. Considering the fall ratings of the Rookie shows, it seemed logical that this lineup would be far from a ratings bonanza, but that's sort of what happened. While Will Trent and Rookie Feds are still not hits, Feds hugely improved and Will Trent did better than Feds ever did at 10 PM. In fact, it looks stronger than any Tuesday show since the first half of the first season of Big Sky. It's still early, and things can quickly change, but Will Trent is looking like a pretty clear renewal choice for ABC. In a slot that is typically dead for them, they finally have a show that looks like it can post some average ratings and retain its lead-in pretty well. Even if it is a flameout, or a two-and-done, it at least starts in solid shape, and it LEANS RENEWAL. 

The Rookie: Feds: Speaking of the Tuesday lineup, The Rookie: Feds certainly perked up on the night its midseason premiere. Its ratings are still a bit underwhelming, given that it lost 30% of The Rookie's ratings despite being a direct crossover with it. However, crossovers aren't magic, and this is still more than double what Feds was hitting at its lowest point in the fall. ABC probably wasn't expecting more than this when they made this move, so these ratings, coupled with its delayed viewing gains, should easily be enough for Feds to receive a renewal. I will be waiting for any sort of upgrade though, since the show looked very spotty for early all of its fall run, and will need to do more than one league average performance for me to think it's a lock. It remains a LIKELY RENEWAL.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let us know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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