NBC Renew/Cancel Week 12: Week Two Slippage Leaves Kenan on Thin Ice

NBC's Tuesday sitcom lineup enters its second week, and changes in their ratings makes for a prediction change. Which show is moving? Keep reading to see!

Certain Cancellation:
N/A

Likely Cancellation: 
Nurses (0.3)

Leans Cancellation:
N/A

Leans Renewal: 
Kenan (0.7)
Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist (0.5)

Likely Renewal:
Mr. Mayor (0.5)

Certain Renewal:
Saturday Night Live (1.5)
Young Rock  (0.9)

Already Renewed:
The Blacklist
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
Law & Order: SVU
New Amsterdam
This Is Us
Transplant

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Connecting...
Superstore

Coming Soon:
Debris
Good Girls
Joe Exotic
Law & Order: Organized Crime
Manifest 

Kenan: After a great premiere last week, Kenan came down to earth this week with a 0.55 rating that makes it apparent that it's on the path towards average NBC sitcom ratings. I'm being a bit harder on this one than Mr. Mayor, which rates a bit lower than Kenan's 0.55, because the drop was so significant in week two. We don't know yet where it will settle, or what its retention from Young Rock will be, and I can't be too confident in its future at this early stage. If it keeps dropping, and starts pulling ratings below the 0.4 mark, then it really could be canceled, despite coming from SNL creator Lorne Michaels and starring SNL's longest-running cast member. For now, while ratings are renewable, we'll just have to wait and see. It LEANS RENEWAL.

Young Rock: Like Kenan, Young Rock wasn't exactly stable in its second episode, losing over two full ratings tenths in a single episode. The 0.77 for episode two, however, is still well ahead of any other NBC sitcoms and most scripted series in general. It's likely to keep dropping, but it still seems pretty certain to remain the #1 comedy on NBC this season. They're not going to cancel everything, so I remain confident in its renewal despite the drop. I'll keep a watch on it in future weeks, but CERTAIN RENEWAL will remain its prediction barring some massive sliding in weeks to come.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

Where would you place Kenan?
Certain Renewal
Likely Renewal
Leans Renewal
Leans Cancellation
Likely Cancellation
Certain Cancellation

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