Fox Renew/Cancel #5: Final Predictions

 Predictions for 5/8/22

Photo Credit: Fox

Below are the final renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2021-22 television season. The numbers listed in the table are the ratings that these shows have garnered in the Adults 18-49 demographic. Since the previous update, one series have been renewed by the network. As always, only scripted programming will be taken into account in this column.


The 9-1-1 Duo: Longtime drama '9-1-1' and spinoff series '9-1-1: Lone Star' are both certain to return for another season. The most recent episode of '9-1-1' garnered a sturdy 0.70 rating in the Adults 18-49 demographic, making it the highest-rated broadcast of the evening. 'Lone Star' posted a more mild 0.51 but was still fairly competitive in its hour with powerhouses like 'NCIS' (0.55) and 'Shark Tank' (0.53). These are the only two scripted shows that could legitimately be classified as strong performers on the Fox network, and the executives would be making a massive mistake if they somehow decided to let go of this consistent, reliable pair. Status: 99% Chance of Renewal 

The Resident: 'The Resident' is a clear step below the '9-1-1' dramas in the ratings department, with a performance that is just barely passable by current standards. It generally hovers around the 0.4 vicinity, sometimes slightly higher and recently just a touch lower (0.38). Cancellation would not be a complete shock here, but it's likely that Fox will want to keep a few modest players around since they are losing Thursday Night Football to Amazon this coming fall. Expect 'The Resident' to squeeze out at least one more season. Status: 70% Chance of Renewal 

Call Me Kat: 'Call Me Kat' definitely struggled to make a case for renewal this season and has experienced a pretty noticeable sophomore slump. If not for the departure of 'Thursday Night Football' and the lack of hits in Fox's sitcom department, 'Kat' would most likely be at the end of its run. Despite that, the Mayim Bialik sitcom finished out its second season with an impressive finale bump, jumping all the way to a 0.36 rating for the last episode of season two. This is a good bit stronger than what 'The Simpsons' is currently posting and is the sitcom's highest rating since mid-March. Though not a lock by any means, a renewal appears more likely than not. Status: 60% Chance of Renewal 

Pivoting: The last three episodes of 'Pivoting' were unable to clear the 0.2 mark in the 18-49 demographic and were all below 1 million in total viewers. If Fox wants to rebuild their comedy brand, they would be better off investing in another season of 'Call Me Kat' than a second season of a show that does not deliver from a commercial standpoint. Status: 20% Chance of Renewal

Welcome To Flatch: In terms of strength, there does not seem to be any meaningful difference between 'Welcome To Flatch' and 'Pivoting'. Though the May 5th episode actually climbed to a series high in the 18-49 demographic, that high is still a mere 0.21 rating. With only one episode above one million in total viewers and completely awful ratings, 'Flatch' is not likely at all to return. Status: 20% Chance of Renewal

Our Kind of People: This dud from the fall wrapped up its season in late January with pitiful ratings and no episode extension. Though its numbers seem a bit better now since it never had to air in the spring months, that does not mean it has much of a shot at being renewed. Status: 15% Chance of Renewal 

The Big Leap:  This drama was unceremoniously canceled in early March and was a correct prediction. Status: CANCELED

The Cleaning Lady: Fox awarded 'The Cleaning Lady' with a renewal in early April. The drama was a 'Likely Renewal' since its debut and was a correct prediction for this column. Status: RENEWED

The Animated Four: 'The Simpsons', 'The Great North', 'Bob's Burgers', and 'Family Guy' were all renewed for the 2022-23 television season before fall 2021 even began. Their ratings leave much to be desired but they will not be leaving anytime soon. Status: RENEWED

What About Duncanville?: 'Duncanville' debuted with a meager 0.18 rating on the first day of May. Since it will primarily air in the summer, it will not be part of the 2021-22 predictions and instead will have its fate determined in the Summer Renew/cancel column. 

Which show would you like to see renewed the most?
The Resident
Call Me Kat
Our Kind of People
Welcome to Flatch
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What do you think of these predictions? As always, leave your thoughts in the comment section below.

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