Reality Renew/Cancel Part 2: Christmas Is the Time to Air Cheap Reality Filler

I was pretty confident that my second reality renew/cancel for the season wouldn't come until 2020, but an increase in holiday time reality programming this season has left me with an opportunity to write an additional column before the decade ends. Read on for initial predictions on the reality shows that have premiered since my last update, including Making It and The Great American Baking Show!

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation: 

Leans Cancellation:
Making It

Leans Renewal:
Kids Say The Darndest Things

Likely Renewal:
Ellen's Greatest Night of Giveaways
The Great American Baking Show
Shark Tank

Certain Renewal:
48 Hours
60 Minutes
Dancing with the Stars
Dateline NBC
The Masked Singer (already renewed for spring cycle)
Survivor (already renewed for spring cycle)
The Voice (already renewed for spring cycle)

Already Renewed:
America's Funniest Home Videos
The Great Christmas Light Fight
Hell's Kitchen

Coming Soon:
24 Hours To Hell and Back
AGT: The Champions
The Amazing Race
American Idol
The Bachelor
The Christmas Caroler Challenge
Ellen's Game of Games
Flirty Dancing
Generation Gap
LEGO Masters
Little Big Shots
Making It
MasterChef Junior
That's My Jam
The Titan Games
Tough As Nails
Undercover Boss
Videos After Dark
Who Do You Think You Are?

The Great American Baking Show: While not necessarily a strong player, this show is always reliably back on ABC's schedule each year, even after the #MeToo controversy during season three. With a 0.5 for its premiere, I highly doubt that this show is a priority for ABC, but it helps them fill a hole on the Thursday schedule during a quiet part of the year, and it likely rates higher and brings in more money than repeats would. The cost of the show is also likely very cheap, meaning that there's not much of a reason to think it won't be back for season six next year. It's a LIKELY RENEWAL.

Ellen's Greatest Night of Giveaways: By far the most impressive holiday reality show this season, Ellen's Greatest Night was also one of the shortest-lived. With just three episodes to its name for season one, the show didn't have much time to drop. However, that doesn't make its big premiere or solid 1.0s for episodes two and three any less impressive. It's pretty obvious that NBC loves Ellen, and he shows are extremely popular, so I see no reason to think that this show won't return next season. Well, aside from one thing: the possibility that it could simply be a one-time holiday event. For now, I'll categorize it as a LIKELY RENEWAL, and not a certain one, even though it's earned a certain renewal label.

Making It: It arguably didn't even earn a second season to begin with, but NBC's crafting competition show may be on its last legs. Its 0.5 average is dismal, considering that it had high-rated shows The Voice and Ellen's Greatest Night of Giveaways as its lead-in for five of the seven days it aired. Its scheduling almost seems to indicate a burnoff, given that its eight-episode season wrapped in just ten days. However, I don't think it's completely dead. Ten o'clock is still not an easy time to air, especially for such a family-friendly show such as this one. At a time of the year that NBC doesn't really have much to air, a 0.5 isn't necessarily the worse they could do, at least if repeats of some of their old Christmas specials are any indication. Its Emmy nomination this year also adds a small bit to its argument for renewal. It still LEANS CANCELLATION, but I wouldn't be shocked to see it back in the future.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments below and don't forget to vote in the Poll of the Week!

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