ABC Renew/Cancel - April 29: Another Shot of Whiskey Looking Unlikely, Bless This Mess Isn’t That Messy

The ABC Renew/Cancel took a week off last week, but we're back this week with updates on a few pivotal shows, including new sitcom Bless This Mess and ABC's new obsession, Whiskey Cavalier.

Certain Cancellation:
The Fix (0.5, 0.5-0.7)

Likely Cancellation: 
For the People (0.5, 0.5-0.6)
Splitting Up Together (0.7, 0.6-0.9)
Whiskey Cavalier (0.6, 0.4-0.9)

Leans Cancellation:

The Kids are Alright (0.9, 0.6-1.4)
Single Parents (0.9, 0.6-1.3)

Leans Renewal: 
Bless This Mess (0.8, 0.7-0.9)
How To Get Away With Murder (0.7, 0.5-0.8)
Speechless (0.5, 0.4-0.6)

Likely Renewal:
Fresh Off the Boat (0.6, 0.5-0.7)
The Rookie (0.7, 0.6-1.0)
Schooled (1.0, 0.8-1.3)
Station 19 (1.0, 0.8-1.3)

Certain Renewal:

American Housewife (1.0, 0.7-1.2)
Black-ish (0.8, 0.6-1.1)
The Goldbergs (1.2, 1.0-1.4)
Grey's Anatomy (1.6, 1.4-1.9)

Already Renewed:
The Conners
The Good Doctor
A Million Little Things
Modern Family

Whiskey Cavalier: I was pretty optimistic about the show's future a few weeks ago due to the sheer amount of adoration ABC has for it. However, sometimes networks need to cut their favorites. It's apparent that that needs to happen with Whiskey Cavalier. Even though it had a somewhat-decent start in the slot, it has absolutely fallen apart and is now the lowest of the low among the ABC 10 PM slate, sinking even lower than the certainly-dead The Fix last week. A 0.4 lead-in is certainly not ideal, but that doesn't make its 0.4 last week excusable in any way. ABC won't be taking another shot of Whiskey this May. It's a LIKELY CANCELLATION.

Bless This Mess: The oft-ridiculed sitcom with a seemingly-prophetic title shocked the ratings community by actually having a solid premiere, growing a tenth on its Blackish lead-in with a 0.9 for its series premiere. That's not exactly a hit rating, but for a lineup that's been an absolute garbage fire since The Conners exited stage left back in January, this is more than enough to put it at least in contention. The week two drop to 0.7 doesn't give it much wiggle room, but that's still enough to keep it in talks for a renewal given how decent its retention from Blackish is and how poorly all of ABC's other new comedies are performing. We'll see where it lands this week, but as of now, Bless This Mess isn't off to nearly as messy of a start as I thought it would be. It LEANS RENEWAL.

Station 19: Even though it isn't lighting the world on fire by any means, ABC's Grey's Anatomy spinoff is still a very safe call to come back. I was more hesitant than most, but at this point even I will agree that the show's probably doing enough to come back. I still think it's underperforming, but ABC has so many flop dramas that this is one of the fish in their pond that's the least in need of frying. I'm upping it to a LIKELY RENEWAL.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments below!

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