Predictions for 1/26/18
A sophomore show begins in red territory in this NBC renew/cancel post.
Key
Show Title [Average Adults 18-49 rating/Most recent rating]
Taken [0.5/0.5] - The sophomore drama made its second season debut on Friday, January 12th. It opened with a disastrous 0.5 rating in the 18-49 demographic. To put things into perspective, it was the lowest-rated original program of the night. It even lost to a repeat of Fox's '9-1-1'. While it kept the same rating in week 2, Taken is still the lowest-rated show on the NBC network. To add on, the show averaged a 1.0 rating last year. This means that the movie-based drama has fallen a whopping 50% on a year-to-year basis. The trends become uglier when the first two episodes of season 1 and 2 are compared (1.6 & 1.2 versus 0.5 & 0.5). Taken may be cheap to produce, but these numbers just won't cut it.
The Brave [0.94/0.7] - The last episode that had a lead-in from The Voice garnered a 0.9 rating. When the singing-competition show went on hiatus, The Brave managed an anemic 0.5 for its winter premiere. This makes it clear that the drama is heavily lead-in dependent. While the series has rebounded a bit in recent weeks, it still hasn't made a case for renewal. Because of this, the military drama remains securely in cancellation territory.
Great News [0.73/0.5] - The sophomore comedy capped its second (and likely final) season last night. It bowed out with a 0.5 rating and lost to a repeat of Will & Grace. It says a lot that the peacock network didn't even bother to give it a strong lead-in for its finale. The series was given two amazing chances to succeed. Unfortunately, it failed miserably in season 1 and 2. I highly doubt that Great News sees a third season.
The Blacklist [0.97/1.1] - The recent episode of The Blacklist tied its season high with a 1.1 rating. It has done about the same as year-ago Blindspot in the 8pm timeslot on Wednesdays. Moreover, the usually volatile drama is currently down just 2% from last year's 0.99 average. While a cancellation wouldn't completely shock me, all signs point to the show snatching up a sixth season.
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