Certain Cancellation:
N/A
Likely Cancellation:
N/A
Leans Cancellation:
N/A
Leans Renewal:
N/A
Already Ending:
The Conners
Yet to Premiere:
The Rookie
Shifting Gears
Will Trent
Abbott Elementary: Last week, Abbott Elementary returned with a robust 0.37 in the key demo. That's down seven hundredths from its finale in the spring, but still some impressive growth from its lead-in, The Golden Bachelorette. 9:30 is a terrible time slot for this show, and airing it behind the extremely incompatible Golden Bachelorette, part of a franchise that is a notoriously horrible lead-in, was always ill-advised. However, it did the absolute best you could expect of it in that scenario, and it tied Chicago Fire for #1 in the 9:30 half-hour. The show is not a massive first-run ratings powerhouse, but it does well in that metric, and always has. Its audience is mainly on streaming, and while it hasn't topped the Hulu charts as consistently as 9-1-1 or High Potential in its first week, it's still looked solid on there so far. We don't yet have multiplatform ratings for the premiere, but they're likely to remain impressive when it does return, if the Hulu top 15 chart is at all accurate. Between respectable first-run ratings that make the show ABC's #2 scripted show in L+SD ratings and a continued impressive streaming showing, Abbott Elementary will not be flunking out of school this season. It's a CERTAIN RENEWAL.
High Potential: This show has been living up to its name. Despite modest retention of a dominant Dancing with the Stars, High Potential's numbers at 10 have still been quite solid. Even the regular 10 PM powerhouse Chicago PD is just a single hundredth above High Potential in the seasonal averages so far, with High Potential actually beating it last week after it rose following a week off. Last week was also High Potential's best retention of DWTS thus far, holding on to 55% of its slipping lead-in. Rising while DWTS rose suggests that High Potential may just have found an audience on its own on ABC, and isn't simply living off that strong lead-in. Its half-hour breakdown suggests as much, only dropping 0.04 in the second half to a still-solid 0.32 at 10:30. That's not its only impressive showing, with excellent showings on Hulu so far. It hasn't left the top 15 on the service since its premiere, not even during the week it didn't air at all, and the MP+7 ratings released by ABC so far have been incredibly impressive. It delivered a 2.1 in the 18-49 demo for its premiere, with 9.8 million viewers, and then actually rose by a hundredth in the demo and nearly a million viewers for its second episode. That's higher in the demo than 9-1-1, and dead-even with 9-1-1 in the ratings we've seen for that show thus far (the premiere only). I was cautiously optimistic about this show when it first premiere, and it's living up to that potential and more so far. I'm not ready to upgrade it yet, because it's still very early in its run, but this is an incredibly promising start, and at this moment, it would be an absolute shock to not see it return for a second season. It's a LIKELY RENEWAL, the safest of the three shows in that category.
What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!
