NBC Renew/Cancel Week 19: Chicago PD Remains the Undisputed King of 10 PM

This week on the NBC Renew/Cancel, we take a look at one of NBC's most valuable shows, which I've given very little attention to this season.

Certain Cancellation:
Grand Crew (0.16, 0.14-0.17)

Likely Cancellation:
Young Rock (0.25, 0.22-0.31)

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal:
American Auto (0.29, 0.24-0.38)

Likely Renewal:
Law & Order (0.48, 0.37-0.60)
Lopez vs Lopez (0.28, 0.21-0.33)
Magnum PI (0.28, 0.22-0.36)

Certain Renewal:
Chicago Fire (0.65, 0.53-0.77)
Chicago Med (0.61, 0.48-0.70)
Chicago PD (0.58, 0.45-0.68)
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.47, 0.37-0.62)
Law & Order: SVU (0.59, 0.50-0.69)
Saturday Night Live (0.77, 0.66-0.98)

Already Canceled/Final Season:
The Blacklist
New Amsterdam

Already Renewed:
La Brea
Night Court
Quantum Leap 

Chicago PD: Last week, Chicago PD hit a truly shocking new series low: 0.45. It's a truly pitiful rating for the show, as it is now averaging just eleven hundredths above TV's #1 10 PM series, Law & Order: Organized Crime. I kid, but the rating was unexpectedly low by its own standards, which only really emphasizes how strong the show is. Even on an off night for it, it is still TV's #1 10 PM series, coming in a half-point above last week's #2, That's My Jam. A 0.58 average is incredible at 10, and as I said above, it's over a tenth above its nearest competition. The Chicago franchise is extremely strong for NBC, even a decade into their runs. It's certainly not groundbreaking to say that, it's simply a fact, but in weeks where the shows look a little "off," it's important to remember that even their weakest points are stronger than what most shows are getting on average. Chicago PD remains one of NBC's most valuable assets, putting up ratings at 10 that are essentially unmatched by any other regular programming in the hour. Not only is it a CERTAIN RENEWAL for next season, it's also quite possible that it receives another multi-season pickup, as it did the last time it was renewed.

American Auto: It is no secret that NBC is one of the weaker networks in terms of live-action comedy, with only one comedy averaging above the league average (Night Court, which itself has recently begun rating below the league average). American Auto is certainly nowhere near the league average, but it is NBC's #2 comedy this season, with a 0.29 average. That was enough for me to change my mind and predict a renewal after rating the show as a toss-up for the first month or so of its sophomore run, as I expected it to be enough to secure a renewal in a weak network sitcom environment, though it was still a tossup. It remains a tossup today. After a 0.4 on the night of The Voice's Tuesday premiere, the show has taken a sharp downturn, hitting a series low 0.24 for both of its most recent episodes. This matches the 0.2 that it got earlier in the season, which appeared to be a fluke but clearly was not. The only good news for American Auto is that the other non-Night Court NBC comedies are all looking even worse, with the most recent episodes of both Lopez vs Lopez and Grand Crew both coming in a decent amount below American Auto's 0.24. American Auto was given better treatment than both of the network's other returning comedies this season, as both of them were shunted to Fridays while it remained on Tuesdays. I don't expect them to go into next season with only two returning comedies, although ratings-wise, it would be justified. One holdup for American Auto is that creator Justin Spitzer has a comedy pilot in contention this year. It's possible that NBC could simply be bolstering their relationship with someone with whom they have a talent deal, but there's also a chance that they view the pilot as a replacement for America Auto and are using it to continue their working partnership with him. There are clear pros and cons to an American Auto renewal, and it's hard to really see where the wind is blowing here, but as of now, I'd say it still LEANS RENEWAL.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week! 

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