Predictions for 03/04/23
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| Photo Credit: FOX |
Below are the latest renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2022-23 television season. The numbers listed in the table mark the Nielsen rating low, average, and high for each respective program in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The "Y2Y (year-to-year) Change" column denotes how much the series has risen or fallen when compared to its average from the previous season. Since the last update, 'Bob's Burgers', 'Family Guy', and 'Accused' have all fallen to new series lows. As always, only scripted programming will be taken into account in this column.
9-1-1: Lone Star: Once 'Accused' chips away at its average enough, '9-1-1: Lone Star' will end up being the third highest-rated program on the Fox network (only behind the original '9-1-1' and an artificially-inflated 'Simpsons'). 'Lone Star' is one of the only scripted shows on Fox that can comfortably be classified as a strong performer and is still Certain To Be Renewed as a result. Ratings above a 0.4 are hard to come by on this network and 'Lone Star' consistently exceeds that benchmark. Expect to see this drama around for a long time to come.
Animal Control: In the past two weeks, 'Animal Control' has proven itself to be a passable player for Fox. The 0.31 it garnered on premiere night was a fine start, but it could have easily fallen off a cliff from there. Instead, the Joel McHale sitcom dipped by a light 16% during its second broadcast (0.26) and then bounced back a bit the following week (0.29). Though its retention of 'Next Level Chef' is no longer as strong as it was in week one, it has clearly held up quite well given where it started. In terms of delayed viewing, Variety reports that 'Animal Control' had the most-streamed debut for a Fox comedy in the network's history. Because its Adults 18-49 ratings are a noticeable step above 'Welcome To Flatch' and it is surpassing expectations in the streaming department, 'Animal Control' continues to be Likely to be Renewed. This series is burning just bright enough to ensure that it will return for a second season.
Alert: 'Alert' closed out season one with a disappointing 0.24 rating in the Adults 18-49 demographic but remains Likely to be Renewed despite its lackluster performance. Though this number may not be very solid, it is a hundredth higher than the latest episode of 'Accused', a series that airs directly after '9-1-1: Lone Star'. 'Alert' does not have the luxury of airing after one of Fox's highest-rated dramas and yet still managed to post a better rating than its freshman counterpart this week. This is a show that consistently built on its meager 'Fantasy Island' lead-in and seems to have the potential to improve if given a better timeslot to air in. Next season would be the perfect time to stick 'Alert' behind one of the '9-1-1' shows in order to see if it can grow an audience when given more support.
