NBC Renew/Cancel Week 11: Good Girls Has a Good, Not Great Chance of Renewal

Since our last update, NBC has begun to roll out their new Sunday night lineup, starting with the two scripted shows in the lineup,  Good Girls and Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist. Keep reading for the initial predictions for both shows.

Certain Cancellation:
Bluff City Law (0.6)
Perfect Harmony (0.4)

Likely Cancellation: 
Indebted (0.4)
Lincoln Rhyme: Hunt For the Bone Collector (0.5)
Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist (0.5)

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal: 
Good Girls (0.4)

Likely Renewal:
Manifest (0.7)

Certain Renewal:
Chicago Fire (1.2)
Chicago PD (1.1)
Chicago Med (1.1)
Law & Order: SVU (0.7)
Saturday Night Live (1.3)

Already Renewed:
The Blacklist
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
New Amsterdam
This Is Us

Already Canceled/Final Season:
The Good Place
Will & Grace

Coming Soon:
Council of Dads

Good Girls: This is a tough one, as the ratings and the fundamentals tell a different story. A 0.4 for the premiere is never a good sign, especially when it's a 0.38. However, its lead-in was excruciatingly awful and it's airing in one of the worst timeslots on TV. That doesn't mean NBC is jumping for joy over a 0.4, but there's bigger fish for them to fry this season (like the parade of newbies hitting 0.4 or even lower in better slots). The show also has a Netflix deal that's probably responsible for it even surviving this long. I can't see them canceling the show without some sort of pre-planned conclusion given that deal. However, it received three additional episodes last year, which makes me wonder if that was NBC's way to give them time to wrap up the show. I lean towards believing they would've announced that with the three-episode pickup, but it gives me enough pause to place it only at LEANS RENEWAL.

Zoey's Extraordinary Playlist: NBC seems to love this show, promoting it hard, boasting about the YouTube views of its pilot, and giving it a post-This Is Us preview before its official debut last month. I said in January after it debuted that I'd wait to assess it until after it premiered. Well, the premiere is finally here and it was even more awful than its preview suggested it would be. With a 0.4 start, it's one of the lowest Big Four newbie debuts this season (along with fellow NBC series Sunnyside and Indebted and CBS drama Tommy). It's a Lionsgate/Universal co-production, which probably doesn't help its case very much. Even being a network favorite probably can't justify it being renewed for another season with ratings this low. If anything, fans should hope for a season two pickup on NBC's new streaming service, Peacock. It starts out as a LIKELY CANCELLATION.

The Blacklist: Another week, another NBC renewal. This time it's a miss for me, as The Blacklist had been in the "leans cancellation" category all season. I was waiting to see if NBC would announce the current season as the final one before it returned from hiatus before upgrading it. My guy feeling that they'd end it this season turned out to be wrong. We'll see how things turn out next year.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!

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