NBC Renew/Cancel Week 8: Not Good Girls, Not Bad Girls Either

Since our last update, NBC has renewed yet another show and premiered two more for the season. It's certainly been a busy period for the peacock network, and it's time for some new predictions.

Certain Cancellation:
AP Bio
I Feel Bad

Likely Cancellation: 

Leans Cancellation:

Good Girls

Leans Renewal: 
The Enemy Within

Likely Renewal:

Certain Renewal:

Law & Order: SVU
Saturday Night Live
This Is Us

Already Renewed:
Will & Grace
The Good Place
New Amsterdam
Chicago Fire
Chicago Med
Chicago PD
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
The Blacklist

Already Canceled/Final Season:
Midnight, Texas

Coming Soon:
The Village

Good Girls: It isn't an entirely unexpected position for this show to be in, but sophomore drama Good Girls doesn't look promising to return for a third season. The show really isn't performing that badly for the infamous Sunday at 10 slot, but with a 0.65 average, it's still one of the lowest-rated shows on NBC. Its lead-in is much lower than last season's lead-in, and Good Girls is doing a decent job retaining its new lead-in. I'm anticipating some lower results down the line, and Timeless was canceled with similar ratings. I think Good Girls is in a better position that Timeless was at that time due to its ownership by NBC and its Netflix deal. However, it's hard to imagine NBC renewing all but three or four shows with such a packed lineup, and these ratings still aren't very good, so I think it's probable that the Sunday at 10 slot will once again be open next season. It starts out in the LEANS CANCELLATION category, though I think it will remain a close call all the way until Upfronts.

AP Bio: In a piece of completely unsurprising news, AP Bio returned last week with a horrible 0.5, between a 0.8 for Superstore and a 0.6 for Brooklyn Nine-Nine. It's a datapoint that warrants being pulled from the schedule, let alone a cancellation. This feels like a classic situation for a second season NBC comedy to be in. It didn't deserve a second season to begin with, and it returned in even worse shape the second time around. NBC didn't hold on to flops Great News and Trial & Error last season, and AP Bio is just as big of a flop as they are (at least Great News resisted the urge to hit 0.5 until it was being burned off in late December). Couple that with NBC having new management that might be less likely to renew flop comedies, and this thing is dead, and it's a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.

The Blacklist and Superstore: Since our last update, both of these shows were renewed. I wasn't as confident with the one as I was about the other, but in the end, both were correct predictions.

What do you think of these predictions? What are you predicting? Let me know in the comments below!

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