First Week Peak: Promising Signs for Silo + Predictions for Ruthless, Elle, Survival of the Thickest, and X-Men ’97

Welcome to First Week Peak, a column which discusses shows that are about to premiere on Netflix, Prime Video, Disney+, Paramount+, HBO Max, Peacock, Hulu, and/or Apple TV. Each discussion concludes with a prediction for the show's weekly peak performance on their respective streaming service's U.S. trending chart, including a reader poll. Final results can be found in our weekly What's Trending On Streaming column. Let us know what you think in the comments!

Tyler Perry's Ruthless (Season 6)
Premieres: June 30 on Paramount+
Genre: Crime drama
Synopsis: After becoming entangled with a religious cult, Ruth musts play along until she can find a way to free herself and her daughter from the dire situation.

Going For It

As a spinoff of The Oval entering its sixth season, Ruthless will bring a built-in audience to Paramount+ for its sixth season. The recent Season 5 premiere of fellow BET+ import All the Queen's Men peaked at #1 in its first week on Paramount+.


Going Against It

When Paramount Skydance made the decision to phase out BET+, they did not offer existing customers a subscription to Paramount+. That means anyone acclimated to watching Ruthless' first five seasons on BET+ will need to either subscribe to Paramount+ to continue watching, or already be subscribed. While BET+ plans started at $5.99/month, Paramount+ is more expensive at $8.99/month, or $13.99/month without ads. In addition, results have been more mixed for fellow BET+ imports Zatima, which has shown longevity but only peaked at #6 in its first week, and Divorced Sistas, which took a month to debut at #9.


Daily Peak Prediction: #4 on Paramount+
Elle (Season 1)
Premieres: July 1 on Prime Video
Genre: Single-camera comedy
Synopsis: Before Elle Woods was a fish-out-of-water at Harvard, we meet her in 1995 in the tumultuous waters of high school where she encounters tricky friendships, forbidden romance, and questionable fashion choices. In this unexpected chapter of her adolescence, we learn about the experiences that shaped Ellen into the iconic young woman we've come to know and love.

Going For It

Elle is a TV series prequel to Legally Blonde, which will almost certainly bring it some eyeballs out of pure curiosity if casual viewers recognize it as such. It already has a solid 5.5 Buzz Score per Television Stats, and has been renewed for a second season.


Going Against It

While many recognize the Legally Blonde name from the movie, the 'Elle' title gives little indication of the nature of the series. Legally Blonde has already spawned a theatrical sequel, which got mixed reviews, and a failed television pilot. It's not an unstoppable IP. It also faces a tough barrier of entry into Prime Video's top 3, largely held this past week by Off Campus (seven days at #1), the recently-renewed Every Year After (seven days at #2), and Spider-Noir (six days at #3 and one at #4).


Daily Peak Prediction: #3 on Prime Video

Silo (Season 3)
Premieres: July 3 on Apple TV
Genre: Sci-fi drama
Synopsis: In a ruined and toxic future, thousands live in a giant silo deep underground. After its sheriff breaks a cardinal rule and residents die mysteriously, engineer Juliette (Rebecca Ferguson) starts to uncover shocking secrets and the truth about the silo. It holds an 8.0 Buzz Score as of this writing.

Going For It

Silo has already re-entered Apple TV's Top 10, having spent June 24 through 27 at #10. This all but guarantees Silo will be in the Top 10 after its third season premiere on July 3.  


Going Against It

Silo's peak Buzz Score was a 39.5, which it reached in the latter half of its second season. It would have to match that when it premieres just to have the second-highest score for an Apple TV show. Widow's Bay, currently holding a 50.9 Buzz Score, has been largely dominant at #1, and the most recent season of fellow sci-fi drama For All Mankind tended to stall around #4.


Daily Peak Prediction: #2 on Apple TV

Survival of the Thickest (Season 3)
Premieres: July 2 on Netflix
Genre: Single-camera comedy
Synopsis: After a bad breakup, passionate stylist Mavis Beaumont seizes the opportunity to start over in life and love while finding happiness on her own terms.

Going For It

As will be explained below, Survival of the Thickest has all the markers of a show that won't make much of a splash on Netflix's trending chart for its upcoming third and final season. However, the same could have been said for Sweet Magnolias ahead of its fifth season premiere a few weeks ago, and it managed a daily peak of #1 despite a weekly peak of #5.


Going Against It

Survival of the Thickest's Buzz Score as of this writing is an abysmally low 0.3, far from an indicator of impending success. Its peak came back in its first season with a just-okay 3.8, a number surpassed currently by 16 other Netflix shows (current and ended). Its second season spent a measly one week in Netflix's weekly Top 10 US TV Shows chart, at #10. 


Daily Peak Prediction: #8 on Netflix

X-Men '97 (Season 2)
Premieres: July 1 on Disney+
Genre: Animation
Synopsis: "X-Men '97" revisits the iconic era of the 1990s as The X-Men, a band of mutants who use their uncanny gifts to protect a world that hates and fears them, are challenged like never before, forced to face a dangerous and unexpected new future.

Going For It

X-Men '97 currently holds a 3.1 Buzz Score per Television Stats, which is enough to be tied for the fourth-highest amount Disney+ shows (and nearly the second-highest). If it comes anywhere near the 44.1 peak from its first season, it should have no trouble being the clear leader on Disney+ when it returns. 


Going Against It

It's been over two years since the first season of X-Men '97 concluded in May 2024. Premiering the second season with three episodes on July 1, just days before Independence Day weekend, could turn out to be a risky move. It also remains to be seen if the controversy between Marvel Studios and X-Men '97 creator Beau DeMayo in 2024 will have any impact on initial viewership. Marvel Studios notably had the second season rewritten after firing Beau DeMayo for sexual misconduct, and subsequently announced a move to scrub his credits entirely from the second season after he posted gay pride-themed fan art of the X-Men. 


Daily Peak Prediction: #1 on Disney+

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