ABC Renew/Cancel - November 30: American Housewife is Certain to be Renewed

I've taken a couple of weeks off from ABC Renew/Cancel, as a lot of ABC's programs have taken weeks off, some because of Thanksgiving. But now it's back, and it's time to analyze the developments on the network in the last three weeks. This includes one upgrade in predictions and one downgrade, as two shows have begun looking differently than they were in the early weeks of the season.

Format for predictions:
Show title (average 18-49 rating, season low-season high)

Certain to be Canceled

Likely to be Canceled
The Kids are Alright (1.1, 0.9-1.4)
Splitting Up Together (0.8, 0.6-0.9)

Fresh Off the Boat (0.6, 0.5-0.7)
Single Parents (1.0, 0.9-1.3)

Likely to be Renewed
How to Get Away with Murder (0.8, 0.7-0.8)
A Million Little Things (0.8, 0.7-1.1)
Modern Family (1.4, 1.2-1.6)
The Rookie (0.8, 0.7-1.0)
Speechless (0.5, 0.4-0.6)

Certain to be Renewed
American Housewife (1.1, 0.9-1.2)
Black-ish (1.0, 0.8-1.1)
The Conners (1.7, 1.4-2.4)
The Goldbergs (1.2, 1.0-1.4)
The Good Doctor (1.1, 1.0-1.3)
Grey's Anatomy (1.7, 1.5-1.9)
Station 19 (1.0, 0.8-1.3)

American Housewife: It was always obvious that ABC was going to renew American Housewife, considering that they own the show and that it will finish this season with 70 episodes. Now, ABC has made it even more clear what faith they have in the show, by ordering another episode for this season and moving it mid-season to lead-off Tuesdays. There's no way ABC gets rid of this show this season, and this makes it seem unlikely that they do that anytime in the near future.

Fresh Off the Boat: On November 16th, for its sixth episode of the season, Fresh Off the Boat hit a new season high of 0.7. It wasn't even something that was almost a 0.6, it was actually fairly close to being a 0.8. This specific rating makes Fresh Off the Boat look renewable, especially considering that if ABC renews Speechless, they are likely going to want something to pair with it. If this turns out to not be a fluke, then Fresh Off the Boat will be likely to return for a sixth season.

The Kids are Alright: After looking strong in its third week, The Kids are Alright has gotten quite a bit weaker, getting 0.9-1.0 out of 1.4-1.5 from The Conners. This is not good, and it's now gone from looking likely to return to looking unlikely to. Although, it has a whole season ahead of it, and if it can hold up when American Housewife slides over to Tuesdays, then it can turn things around. For now though, that seems unlikely.

Single Parents: After two weeks off, Single Parents returned with its weakest rating yet, scoring a weak (at least preliminary) 0.9 out of a 1.3 from Modern Family. If it keeps rating like this, I don't see it returning. For now though, I'm keeping it as a toss-up.

What do you think of my predictions? Leave your thoughts in the comments!

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