ABC Renew/Cancel Week 17: ABC Won’t Be Keeping Company with The Company You Keep

The final new series premiere on ABC this season, The Company You Keep, made its debut last night on the network. Keep on reading for my initial prediction for it.

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:
Alaska Daily (0.24, 0.17-0.32)
The Company You Keep (0.2*)

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal:
Big Sky (0.25, 0.19-0.31)
The Goldbergs (0.38, 0.33-0.44)
The Good Doctor (0.32, 0.25-0.39)
Home Economics (0.35, 0.30-0.41)
Not Dead Yet (0.37, 0.31-0.44)
Will Trent (0.32, 0.27-0.38)

Likely Renewal:
The Rookie: Feds (0.30, 0.21-0.44)

Certain Renewal:
The Conners (0.53, 0.46-0.61)
Grey's Anatomy (0.49, 0.40-0.55)
The Rookie (0.42, 0.27-0.64)
Station 19 (0.49, 0.44-0.53)

Already Canceled/Ending:
A Million Little Things

Already Renewed:
Abbott Elementary

Coming Soon:
The Wonder Years

The Company You Keep: Last night, The Company You Keep debuted as the latest scripted component of ABC's lineup. Despite the best lead-in ABC could offer it (a 0.6 from American Idol), Company got off to a miserable start, drawing just a 0.2. We won't get unrounded final ratings until tomorrow morning, so we won't know until then if the show's retention from Idol really was as pitiful (just a third!) as it looks in rounded prelim ratings, but it's impossible for finals to change things enough to make this debut look good in any way. Unless it adjusts up to a 0.32 (which feels extremely unlikely), this will be ABC's lowest-rated new series debut this season, despite having one of the strongest lead-ins.I don't envision ABC being too ruthless this season with cancellations, but they never renew everything, and this show seems to be the weakest of any on their lineup right now. Milo Ventimiglia's post-This Is Us project is a massive misfire, and is already a LIKELY CANCELLATION.

Not Dead Yet: After a decent, if unspectacular, start, Not Dead Yet continues to not be dead in its second week, although it's getting closer. In week two, ABC's newest comedy dropped six hundredths to a 0.31, a rating that's higher than just a single episode of the recent season of Home Economics. It's not hard to imagine that in the coming weeks, it'll drop lower than the lowest Home Economics ever went in this slot (0.30). However, the second week drop isn't too bad - it dropped less than The Conners or its lead-in, Abbott Elementary, and faced significantly tougher competition this week due to the return of Chicago Fire on NBC. So I don't think it's quite reached the point where cancellation is the most likely outcome, and it remains very much in the hunt so long as it can stay at this level. It's on thin ice, but still LEANS RENEWAL for now.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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