NBC Renew/Cancel Week 14: Young Rock and American Auto Locked in a Race to the Bottom

NBC's weakest comedies take the spotlight on this week's NBC Renew/Cancel, as I discuss the outlook on both Young Rock and American Auto, two of broadcast's lowest-rated scripted originals.

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:
American Auto (0.31, 0.25-0.38)
Young Rock (0.25, 0.22-0.31)

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal:

Likely Renewal:
Law & Order (0.49, 0.43-0.60)
Lopez vs. Lopez (0.29, 0.24-0.33)

Certain Renewal:
Chicago Fire (0.65, 0.58-0.77)
Chicago Med (0.62, 0.56-0.70)
Chicago PD (0.59, 0.51-0.68)
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.48, 0.41-0.62)
Law & Order: SVU (0.59, 0.50-0.69)
Saturday Night Live (0.77, 0.66-0.98)

Already Canceled/Final Season:
The Blacklist
New Amsterdam

Already Renewed:
La Brea
Magnum PI
Night Court
Quantum Leap

Coming Soon:
Grand Crew 

Young Rock: A show that is perennially on the decline, Young Rock is a show that was never likely to have a very long run, no matter its ratings. It's just hard to imagine Dwayne Johnson being tied to a network sitcom for a decade like the stars of many other comedies. However, the ratings this season seem to suggest that a premature end to his broadcast tenure may just be in order. With a recent string of 0.2s, Young Rock is NBC's lowest-rated comedy, and their lowest-rated series in general. It's no weaker than American Auto, and it may even be higher than Grand Crew will perform in this slot, but NBC is in a place where they can cancel multiple veteran/sophomore comedies, just like they did last season. Young Rock likely costs more than those flop shows, due to having a big-name star leading its cast, which is another knock against it. This may not mean much, but NBC President Susan Rovner did an interview recently where she discussed the network's comedy slate and mentioned every NBC comedy besides Young Rock. Perhaps Rovner forgot about the show by accident - hard to blame her, with ratings like this - but the lack of a mention made me a bit concerned about Young Rock's future. That NBC Shuffled it off to Fridays over American Auto seems to suggest that they're not all that high on it to begin with, and this all adds up to my belief that the show is done, and a downgrade to a LIKELY CANCELLATION prediction.

American Auto: After holding decently well in its second and third weeks following its weak premiere, I began to wonder if I was too harsh on American Auto in my initial prediction. I even began considering an upgrade for it. Then it tumbled to a 0.2 on Tuesday. While that 0.2 ended up being a 0.25 in the final unrounded ratings, making it look a bit better, retaining only 50% of your lead-in is pretty pathetic. American Auto could still get renewed, since NBC has their share of comedies that are performing pathetically, but it looks like it's their weakest show on the air right now, and it remains a LIKELY CANCELLATION.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments!

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