ABC Renew/Cancel Week 15: Home Economics and Big Sky May Strike Up Fourth Seasons After All

This week on the ABC Renew/Cancel, the threat of an industry strike is music to the ears of their bubble series - including two that recently wrapped their first seasons. Keep reading to see how this shakes up the predictions:

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:
Alaska Daily (0.24, 0.17-0.32)

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal:
Big Sky (0.25, 0.19-0.31)
The Goldbergs (0.38, 0.34-0.44)
The Good Doctor (0.32, 0.25-0.39)
Home Economics (0.35, 0.30-0.41)
Will Trent (0.34, 0.30-0.38)

Likely Renewal:
The Rookie: Feds (0.29, 0.21-0.44)

Certain Renewal:
The Conners (0.53, 0.46-0.61)
Grey's Anatomy (0.49, 0.40-0.55)
The Rookie (0.40, 0.27-0.64)
Station 19 (0.49, 0.44-0.53)

Already Canceled/Ending:
A Million Little Things

Already Renewed:
Abbott Elementary

Coming Soon:
The Company You Keep
Not Dead Yet
The Wonder Years

Home Economics: While I had essentially written it off when its finally aired two weeks ago, I am now beginning to reconsider things with Home Economics. I had initially considered Home Economics' short order as a sign of impending doom, but in a turn of events, shows with short orders have found themselves with an unusual advantage. With entertainment union strikes looking highly possible, and networks already planning ahead, multiple shows with shortened ordered have been renewed in the hopes that they will get back into production ASAP and give networks something to air in the event of any strikes. Shows like the Cleaning Lady and La Brea, which both looked like bubble shows at best, received early renewals in the last week, likely as strike preparation measures. I think a similar situation could occur for Home Economics, which rated well enough that a renewal wouldn't be entirely unjustified either. A cancellation remains very much a possibility, but I think the threat of a strike makes Home Ec a mild favorite for renewal now. It LEANS RENEWAL.

Big Sky: I'm quite a bit less confident about this prediction than I am about the already shaky Home Economics upgrade, but I'm also betting on a fourth season pickup for Big Sky. Its delayed ratings are truly awful, but like Home Economics, it can probably resume production in the near future due to the shortness of its third season. It will provide something for ABC to air as a backup, and since it's owned by the network, they will get full profits from streaming and international deals. I don't think those profits would've been enough to get it a fourth season without a strike, but ABC may figure that it will be more profitable than whatever repeats or unscripted reality shows they may rush to the air to fill up the fall schedule. By a hair, Big Sky LEANS RENEWAL.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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