NBC Renew/Cancel Week 15: Magnum PI Should Cruise to Renewal

Magnum PI made its much-anticipated debut on NBC this week, in one of the highest-profile network switches in recent years on broadcast TV. Keep reading to see whether CBS's "junk" turned out to be NBC's "treasure."

Certain Cancellation:

Likely Cancellation:
American Auto (0.31, 0.25-0.38)
Young Rock (0.25, 0.22-0.31)

Leans Cancellation:

Leans Renewal:

Likely Renewal:
Law & Order (0.49, 0.43-0.60)
Lopez vs. Lopez (0.29, 0.24-0.33)
Magnum PI (0.31, 0.26-0.36)

Certain Renewal:
Chicago Fire (0.65, 0.58-0.77)
Chicago Med (0.62, 0.56-0.70)
Chicago PD (0.59, 0.51-0.68)
Law & Order: Organized Crime (0.48, 0.41-0.62)
Law & Order: SVU (0.59, 0.50-0.69)
Saturday Night Live (0.77, 0.66-0.98)

Already Canceled/Final Season:
The Blacklist
New Amsterdam

Already Renewed:
La Brea
Night Court
Quantum Leap

Coming Soon:
Grand Crew

Magnum PI: Before this week, I was under the impression that NBC had already renewed the show for a sixth season, as that's what was announced when it was initially picked up. However, at some point it was decided that the twenty-episode pickup would be for one split season, rather than two separate ones. With that second half not expected to air until the next TV season, it's quite possible we won't get news on a potential official sixth season of Magnum for up to a year. However, it's off to a decent enough start that I'm pretty sure that sixth season pickup will eventually come. Last week, the former CBS procedural debuted on NBC with a 0.36 in the demo, before dropping to 0.26 at 10 PM. While that's a hefty drop, but it's not unexpected for a two-hour premiere that aired in the lower-rated 10 PM hour. The 0.36 is much healthier than anything that's aired on NBC Sundays in the past few seasons - the night has tended to be an absolute dead zone for the peacock network as of late. In a bit of irony, Magnum's 0.36 outperformed every Sunday procedural on its former network, CBS, allowing NBC to be semi-competitive on Sundays for the first time in years. As I said above, it is quite possible that Magnum's renewal may not come for a long time due to the split-season structure, but it's hard to see them cutting it loose so quickly after this performance. It starts as a LIKELY RENEWAL on a network that likely will appreciate it a heck of a lot more than CBS appreciated it.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week!

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