Summer Renew/Cancel Week 2: Mixed Results for New Thursday Shows

Week two of the Summer Renew/Cancel is here, and there's a lot to talk about, with four new shows premiering since last week and one show earning a renewal. Stay tuned for initial predictions for Holey Moley, Reef Break, and more!

Certain to be Canceled:
The InBetween (0.5)
Paradise Hotel (0.4)

Likely to be Canceled:
Family Food Fight (0.6)
Reef Break (0.5)

Leans Cancellation:
First Responders Live (0.6)
Grand Hotel (0.7)
NCIS: The Cases They Can't Forget (0.4)

Leans Renewal:
The Big Stage (0.1)
My Last Days (0.1)
Songland (1.0)
So You Think You Can Dance (0.6)
Whistleblower (0.4)

Likely to be Renewed:
Beat Shazam (0.7)
Card Sharks (0.8)
Holey Moley (1.0)
Press Your Luck (0.9)
Spin The Wheel (0.8)

Certain to be Renewed:
The $100,000 Pyramid (0.7)
American Ninja Warrior (0.9)
America's Got Talent (1.6)
The Bachelorette (1.3)
Big Brother (1.2)
Celebrity Family Feud (1.0)
MasterChef (0.7)
Masters of Illusion (0.2)
Match Game (0.7)
Penn & Teller: Fool Us (0.3)
To Tell The Truth (0.7)
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (0.2)

Fate Determined:
Agents of SHIELD (Renewed)
Blood & Treasure (Renewed)
Burden of Truth (Renewed)
Elementary (Final Season)
iZombie (Final Season)

Yet to Premiere:
Bachelor In Paradise
Bring The Funny
Hollywood Game Night
Hypnotize Me
Love Island
Mysteries Decoded
The Outpost
Red Bull Peaking
The Wall
What Just Happened??! with Fred Savage
What Would You Do?

Spin The Wheel and Holey Moley: Both shows started off stronger than expected on Thursday, with Holey Moley even cracking a 1.0 for its premiere, topping the night. Spin The Wheel took second at 0.8, growing from its lead-in, the battered and bruised MasterChef. Neither data point is huge for an in-season premiere, but they are impressive for Summer debuts, especially given their expectations. I find it hard to believe that either will go low enough to be canceled, but with just one week's worth of data, I won't be putting either down as certain renewals. They start in the LIKELY RENEWAL category.

Family Food Fight and Reef Break: On the other end of the spectrum, you have these debuts. Family Food Fight had what could be described as a disastrous premiere at 9 behind
Holey Moley, and Reef Break had a lower (but less disastrous considering the circumstances) result at 10. Neither show had high expectations to begin with, but Family Food Fight undoubtedly underperformed and Reef Break met the low expectations. Neither of them really seem to have strong network support, and I don't see any real incentive for ABC to renew them. They're only bound to sink lower, with 0.4s and 0.3s probably in the future. They could suprise, but at this point, they're huge underdogs. They're LIKELY CANCELLATIONS.

The InBetween: Last week, The InBetween fell to a 0.4, making it down from Reverie for the first time this season. There really wasn't a path to renewal before, but now there isn't any way that this will be renewed. It was an in-season reject that needed to impress in order get a renewal, and it's doing anything but impressive. It's a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.

Blood & Treasure: Despite terrible ratings and pretty poor treatment from the network, this week Blood & Treasure became the first summer show of the season renewed to be renewed, aside from those that were renewed before their seasons began. It didn't deserve it based on the ratings, but there had to be an economical reason to justify this decision.

What do you think of these predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!

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