ABC Renew/Cancel - April 20: Alex Inc. is Certain to be Canceled

Deception remains a toss-up this week, with it taking the week off and no additional information now known about the show that would prompt a decision one way or another, though next week the show has two airings, on Sunday and on Tuesday. This week, Alex Inc. had two airings, on Tuesday and Wednesday, and through those it established itself as completely dead. I have also moved another show from a "likely" to a "certain" category.


Format for predictions:
Show title (average 18-49 rating, season low-high)

Certain to be Canceled
Alex, Inc. (1.0, 0.6-1.3)
Inhumans (0.6, 0.4-0.9)
Kevin Probably Saves the World (0.7, 0.4-1.0)

Likely to be Canceled
The Crossing (0.8, 0.7-0.9)
For the People (0.7, 0.5-0.9)

Toss-Up
Deception (0.8, 0.7-1.2)

Likely to be Renewed
Agents of SHIELD (0.6, 0.5-0.7)
Designated Survivor (0.7, 0.6-1.1)
Fresh Off the Boat (1.0, 0.9-1.4)
Speechless (1.2, 0.9-1.4)

Certain to be Renewed
American Housewife (1.2, 1.0-1.6)
Black-ish (1.2, 0.9-2.6)
Grey's Anatomy (2.0, 1.7-2.3)
How to Get Away with Murder (1.0, 0.8-1.1)
Splitting Up Together (1.4, 1.0-2.1)
Station 19 (1.1, 1.0-1.2)

Fate Determined
The Goldbergs (RENEWED)
The Good Doctor (RENEWED)
The Mayor (DE-FACTO CANCELED)
The Middle (FINAL SEASON)
Modern Family (RENEWED)
Once Upon a Time (CANCELED)
Roseanne (RENEWED)
Scandal (FINAL SEASON)
Ten Days in the Valley (DE-FACTO CANCELED)


Alex, Inc: With a Tuesday airing after Roseanne and a Wednesday airing in a line-up of repeats, new comedy Alex Inc. did not impress. On Tuesday, the series exhibited weak retention, falling much behind the episodes that Black-ish and The Middle that got to air directly after Roseanne. Then, on Wednesday, Alex's rating was lower than all of the comedy repeats that it aired with that night, with the show scoring a 0.6 between two 0.7s. With these ratings, there is absolutely no chance that Alex, Inc. comes back.

Station 19: While its ratings aren't all that impressive, following impressive stability, I have upgraded the Grey's Anatomy spin-off to "certain to be renewed". It has been the bright spot among the new dramas ABC has launched this spring, so there is no way they ditch it.

Speechless: With the news that a spin-off of The Goldbergs has been ordered this week, before ABC's comedy pilots have screened, the question is what this means for Speechless. From my perspective, the fate of Speehless now depends on if ABC will expand from four to five comedy hours on their schedule or not. If they do not expand, the schedule is crowded, and it is very unlikely that Speechless makes it (unless ABC has an unusually weak crop of comedy pilots, like NBC a year ago). If they do expand, Speechless is likely necessary for the schedule to work. I think that the timing of this Goldbergs spin-off news indicates expansion, so I am continuing to predict renewal for Speechless.


What do you think of my predictions? Leave your thoughts in the comments!

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