Certain Cancellation:
N/A
Likely Cancellation:
The Golden Bachelor (0.19, 0.16-0.28)
Leans Cancellation:
N/A
Leans Renewal:
Shifting Gears (0.34, 0.31-0.38)
Likely Renewal:
9-1-1 (0.33, 0.30-0.35)
9-1-1: Nashville (0.25, 0.20-0.29)
Celebrity Wheel of Fortune (0.24, 0.15-0.31)
Grey's Anatomy (0.20, 0.13-0.27)
Shark Tank (0.15, 0.11-0.20)
Certain Renewal:
20/20 (0.17, 0.12-0.20)
Abbott Elementary (0.32, 0.27-0.38)
America's Funniest Home Videos (0.28, 0.25-0.29)
Dancing with the Stars (1.23, 1.02-1.38)
High Potential (0.34, 0.28-0.42)
Coming Soon:
American Idol
The Bachelorette
Celebrity Jeopardy!
The Great Christmas Light Fight
RJ Decker
The Rookie
Scrubs
Will Trent
Shark Tank: This has not been Shark Tank's year. It debuted with a 0.20, which wasn't a series low at the time, but was well below average. That is somehow the highlight of its season. It plunged to a series-low 0.13 the next week as its lead-in dropped even more, and then spent the next two airings gaining it back. After a week of, the show dropped from its season high of 0.20 to another new low - this time, a 0.11. That's the lowest rating any show on ABC has hit this season, and it's the lowest rating any show on the big three TV has hit this season, outside of CBS Saturday night newsmagazine 48 Hours. Not good. This is a show that relies on live viewership, as it's ABC's lowest-rated show in multiplatform-plus-seven ratings and was one of just eight broadcast shows to add fewer than one million viewers with seven days of delayed viewing factored in for its premiere. With a paltry 0.15 average, it's ABC's lowest-rated show this year. If this were a new show performing this poorly, it would likely be placed straight into a cancellation prediction after these horrible 0.11s. But Shark Tank is a long-running show that has long had a home on ABC's schedule, and I don't think they'll be too quick to cancel it. They know that it can perform better than this if placed in a better slot, and they know that most other low-cost options (like Hulu repeats or What Would You Do?) wouldn't have done noticeably (if at all) better than Shark Tank in that cursed post-Golden Bachelor slot. It's getting hard to justify keeping it as a LIKELY RENEWAL, but for now I'm going to keep it there, because it's very difficult to envision an outright cancellation for Shark Tank, even as the ratings falter. I expect that ABC will give it another shot after its long history on the network, especially given that even Celebrity Wheel of Fortune is beginning to decline a bit recently, now running a bit behind Shark Tank's year-ago ratings in that Friday night slot. If Shark Tank fails to improve with The Golden Bachelor now out of the way, then a downgrade may be in order.
The Golden Bachelor: I've gone into great detail about what a misfire this show was for ABC, and I don't want to bet a dead horse by going into great detail again about this disastrous season. But The Golden Bachelor did wrap up its second season last week, and I do want to do one last write-up now that we have an entire season's worth of data. This season came in at a 0.19 average, down a full two-thirds from the 0.60 average of season one. Its finale rating batched that average, rising just two hundredths from the week before. Most Bachelor shows, even those with mediocre ratings (like recent seasons of The Bachelorette and even The Golden Bachelorette), at least show some life on finale night, as viewers tune in to see who the lead has chosen. That was not the case this season, showing that interest is really just not there at all in The Golden Bachelor this year. We have seen other shows on ABC rate worse than a 0.19 this season, but a Bachelor should should be doing better than this, especially when its multiplatform ratings are seemingly very poor, too. Most Bachelor shows are solid streaming performers, especially compared to most reality series, but The Golden Bachelor has seen minimal interest on streaming, adding just 1.6 million viewers in MP+7 data for its premiere - and that was when it was performing better on the Hulu charts. The Golden Bachelor's continued presence on ABC's schedule is just not necessary. Keeping the Bachelor franchise as a year-round schedule entry is actively harming the brand, giving it no time to breathe in between new seasons. Overexposure has seemingly harmed the franchise's ratings in the last year or so, and ABC has taken notice, skipping the airing of The Bachelorette last summer and skipping The Bachelor this upcoming winter. A 0.19 average for The Golden Bachelor is just a disaster, and ABC can do better in their Wednesday at 9 slot moving forward, while also avoiding overexposure to the fading Bachelor brand. ABC loves this franchise, so you can't entirely rule out a Golden Bachelor return, but there's no ratings data whatsoever showing that it would deserve a renewal. It ends its second season as a LIKELY CANCELLATION, seemingly destined to be remembered as a Bachelor entry that burned bright at first before a stunning flameout.
Interactive Schedule:
| The TV Ratings Guide | 8:00 | 8:30 | 9:00 | 9:30 | 10:00 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mon | Monday Night Football | |||||
| Tues | Dancing with the Stars | High Potential | ||||
| Wed | Shifting Gears | Abbott Elementary | The Golden Bachelor | Shark Tank | ||
| Thurs | 9-1-1 | 9-1-1: Nashville | Grey's Anatomy | |||
| Fri | Celebrity Wheel of Fortune | 20/20 | ||||
| Sat | Saturday Night Football | |||||
| Sun | The Wonderful World of Disney | |||||
Renewed
Certain Renew
Likely Renew
Leans Renew
Leans Cancel
Likely Cancel
Certain Cancel
Canceled
What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll of the week below!
