Certain Cancellation:
Grosse Pointe Garden Society (0.12, 0.09-0.17)
The Irrational (0.17, 0.10-0.31)
Leans Cancellation:
Night Court (0.23, 0.15-0.32)
Leans Renewal:
Found (0.22, 0.18-0.29)
Likely Renewal:
Law & Order (0.30, 0.25-0.36)
Certain Renewal:
Chicago Fire (0.39, 0.31-0.48)
Chicago Med (0.40, 0.33-0.48)
Chicago PD (0.36, 0.30-0.48)
Law & Order: SVU (0.35, 0.27-0.49)
Saturday Night Live (0.84, 0.55-2.17)
Renewed:
Happy's Place
St. Denis Medical
The Hunting Party: The latest post-Voice Monday drama, The Hunting Party wrapped its first season this week and continued to be a ratings misfire. It started out in poor shape, with a 0.22 debut on Monday after a 0.46 for a post-NFL preview about a month before that. For the five weeks after that, it continued to look rough, but not entirely abysmal, making it one of the more "promising" bubble dramas on NBC this season, but still not particularly renewable. Notably, though, those stronger showings came when NCIS: Origins was on an extended hiatus, all while ABC's 10 PM hour was practically dead air. It's easy to look OK when you have zero competition and a strong lead-in. Once NCIS: Origins came back, it was downhill fast. The show hit a 0.14, then was down to 0.13 for the last two weeks. With Origins off for the majority of Hunting Party's run (including that 0.13 finale, though CBS had strong basketball competition that night instead), THP ends with a 0.22 average. I'd guess that the high 0.1s at the end of the show's run represent its base audience, and that's a very unimpressive base. NBC hasn't released any multiplatform ratings for the show, which is very concerning, as they've even released delayed figures for shows like Found, Grosse Pointe, and Brilliant Minds. The L+7 ratings, while a metric that isn't as telling as it once was due to the rise of streaming and decline of DVR, are a bit more promising, rating around a 0.3, and rising over 100% for the two most weeks (the first two weeks where it hit a 0.1 in L+SD) - larger increases than Suits LA, Grosse Pointe. I don't think a 0.3 in L+7 will be enough to save it, especially if it is as weak on streaming as I suspect, but that's enough to keep it being downgraded. It ends is run as a LIKELY CANCELLATION, which is where it started its run, though I think its odds look a bit worse now than they were directly after its premiere.
Grosse Pointe Garden Society: Last week, Grosse Pointe Garden Society made the move to Friday nights, a few weeks after NBC announced the move. It was bombing on Sundays, and it continued to bomb on Friday. In fact, even with a higher local lead-in, and not airing in the latest hour of primetime, the show managed to decline slightly in its new slot, with a pitiful 0.11 in the demo. That's down from the figure skating championships the week before (0.15, a figure that shouldn't have been hard to beat), much lower than Happy's Place, and lower than all those 8:30 repeats that aired behind Happy's Place during the last five weeks of its run. It was the lowest rating for any program on NBC last week, not counting repeats airing on the network on Saturday night. If this was a move to save the show, it's failed miserably. If it was a rating to improve Sunday nights, that seems to have worked so far - Dateline noticeably improved that slot, as the night rose 12% as a whole. That NBC could improve their lineup dramatically by airing a third hour of a cheap newsmagazine is a damning indicator of how weak Grosse Pointe is. L+7 ratings for the show have also been quite poor, most recently receiving a 0.20 in L+7 for its final Sunday episode (the last bit of data available). That's a pretty poor decline, although it is possible that its audience is on streaming. We haven't gotten any streaming data since mid-March, when NBC reported the show drew a 1.21 in multiplatform ratings with less than a month of viewing. It's been radio silence on the mutliplatform front since then, which may not be a great sign. Shows typically drop post-premiere, and there's been no indication from Peacock that the show is doing well, rarely making their list of the top ten most popular shows on the service. The move to Friday does not change the outlook for Grosse Pointe Garden Society, the show has wilted, and it's a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.
Brilliant Minds: In an upgrade I've been weighing for a few weeks, Brilliant Minds moves from a certain cancellation prediction to a less severe LIKELY CANCELLATION prediction. I'd still be shocked to see the series come back, but in the weeks since it was originally downgraded and then went off the air, we've seen a long string of shows bombing even worse than this one. With everything but the Dick Wolf shows looking arguably deserving of "certain cancellation" status based on ratings alone, it's hard to justify anything staying there, except in extraordinary circumstances. Grosse Pointe and The Irrational remain their two biggest bombs, with cases against them that I've laid out before, but Brilliant Minds has started looking a bit better in comparison. It is, inexplicably, NBC's highest-rated new drama, so there is probably some semblance of a chance for renewal, even though it's just a faint chance.
Announcing the NBC Renew/Cancel March Madness Champion!
Interactive Schedule:
The TV Ratings Guide
8:00
8:30
9:00
9:30
10:00
Mon
The Voice
The Hunting Party
Tues
St. Denis Medical
Night Court
Deal or No Deal Island
The Irrational
Wed
Chicago Med
Chicago Fire
Chicago PD
Thurs
Law & Order
Law & Order: SVU
Found
Fri
Grosse Pointe Garden Society
Dateline NBC
Sun
The Americas
Suits LA
Dateline NBC
