Summer Reality Renew/Cancel, Week 1: Truthfully, To Tell the Truth Will be Back

It's week one of the 2018 Summer Renew/Cancel, and I'll be taking over the predictions this season from Jonathan, who has stepped back. But don't worry, everything is the same about the index, just a new showrunner and a new look.

Certain to be Canceled:
Phenoms (0.2, 0.1-0.2)

Likely to be Canceled:
The Last Defense (0.5)
Love Connection (0.5, 0.5-0.6)
My Last Days (0.1)

Leans Cancellation:
48 Hours: NCIS (0.5)
The Proposal (0.8)

Leans Renewal:
Beat Shazam (0.7, 0.7-0.8)
The Four (0.7)
Little Big Shots (0.9, 0.8-1.1)
Running Wild with Bear Grylls (0.8, 0.7-0.9)
So You Think You Can Dance (0.7, 0.7-0.8)

Likely to be Renewed:
24 Hours To Hell and Back (1.1)
Celebrity Undercover Boss (0.6, 0.5-0.7)
Whose Line Is It Anyway?  (0.3, 0.3-0.4)

Certain to be Renewed:
The $100,000 Pyramid (1,1 1.0-1.2)
American Ninja Warrior (1.1, 1.0-1.2)
America's Got Talent (2.3, 2.2-2.5)
The Bachelorette (1.5, 1.4-1.6)
Celebrity Family Feud (1.4, 1.1-1.8)
MasterChef (1.0, 0.9-1.2)
To Tell the Truth (0.8)
What Would You Do? (0.6, 0.5-0.8)

Fate Determined:
World of Dance (RENEWED)

Yet to Premiere:
The Gong Show (June 2018)
Match Game (June 2018)
Masters of Illusion (June 2018)
Big Brother (June 2018)
Penn & Teller: Fool Us (June 2018)
TKO: Total Knock Out (July 2018)
Making It (July 2018)
Bachelor In Paradise (August 2018)
Castaways (August 2018)

To Tell the Truth: While it isn't doing huge numbers, TTTT is doing quite well in a toxic timeslot. With a 0.8 average thus far, the show has improved on what Fall occupant Ten Days In the Valley has done, and is in-line with the performance of Deception, despite a much lower lead-in. It's also retained a decent percentage of its Pyramid, and it managed to hold steady this week despite the first two hours of the Fun & Games lineup sinking. That's pretty impressive, and the show's a CERTAIN RENEWAL.

48 Hours: NCIS: This CBS filler series was a flop from the start, and it's anyone's guess as to why it was renewed for a second season. It rates lower than the Tuesday procedural repeats, despite its ties to two well-known CBS franchises. Because it was low-rated in season one, I really can't count this one out, especially considering CBS's bad luck recently in the summer. And hey, at least it's steady. Not that steady at 0.5s is really a good thing. I don't think it's coming back though, and it currently LEANS CANCELATION.

The Proposal: With a 0.8 premiere, the new ABC post-Bachelorette show isn't off to a great start. The series enjoyed a large and incredibly compatible lead-in, and it really didn't capitalize on it. This is clearly better than last year's scripted attempt, Still Star-Crossed, but it still isn't a very viable option considering that, being a new series that's subject to sampling, it's likely to fall in the coming weeks. We'll see how far it falls and if it settles around renewable territory, but for now I just can't see it coming back. I'll re-assess next week, but it LEANS CANCELATION for now.

So You Think You Can Dance: Even though it doesn't enjoy very high ratings, this long-running Summer staple just keeps chugging along. This season, it's not even doing that badly. It'll probably end up being Fox's #1 show this week, tying or beating out newer, younger shows like The Four and Beat Shazam. And it's holding up very nicely year-to-year, which is much easier said than done. It's not a hit by any means, but SYTYCD will probably get at least one more dance. It LEANS RENEWAL.

What do you think of my predictions? Let me know in the comments and vote in the poll below!

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