Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - July 31: Mistresses Will Likely be Canceled

Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. This is week seven, and this week Welcome to Sweden was canceled by NBC after four episodes (two weeks) of its second season. Here are the summer shows divided into categories, and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (0.8)
Dates (CW) (0.1)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.5)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.0)

Will Likely be Canceled
Extant (CBS) (0.7)
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.7)


Will Likely be Renewed

Certain to be Renewed
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.1)
Zoo (CBS) (1.1)

Fate Determined
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) CANCELED
American Odyssey (NBC) CANCELED
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Wayward Pines (FOX) CANCELED
Welcome to Sweden (NBC) CANCELED

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)

After six weeks of sitting at "toss-up" I have finally decided to move Mistresses. It's average isn't much better than Rookie Blue's now (unrounded, based on ratings rounded to the nearest one-tenth, Rookie Blue is exactly 0.7, and Mistresses is 0.775), and this week it tied Rookie Blue after last week doing worse than it. I don't think that Mistresses will be renewed. But I am not certain, and I wonder if either it or Rookie Blue will get renewed just because ABC won't want to cancel all four of their scripted summer series this year.

Speaking of Rookie Blue, I mentioned last week that its 0.8 rating made me want to upgrade it, but I would wait. I am glad I waited, because this week it was back down to 0.7. I doubt it will return next summer on ABC (though it still can be renewed in Canada), but really the question is, how cheep is it for ABC to air it?

Mistresses isn't the only show that I kept at "toss-up" for a while, Extant stayed there for three weeks before I downgraded it last week. This week, the show is asking to go back up as it earned a 0.8 rating. I'm not moving it this week, but if it doesn't go back down next week, expect it to move back up on here.

If they already weren't certain enough, Zoo and Under the Dome are looking even more certain for renewal this week. Zoo went up this week to a 1.2, up two tenths from last week's 1.0, and Under the Dome was flat with last week's 1.0 rating. Despite Extant's poor ratings, CBS is still making money off scripted series during the summer.

Welcome to Sweden was unsurprisingly canceled this week. Its fourth episode of the season, which aired Sunday at 8:30, earned a 0.2 rating, down from the 0.3 that the previous episode that night and the 0.3s of the previous week's episodes. I was planning on moving it to "certain to be canceled" this week. However, I was still correct in predicting its cancelation last week. It is now the sixth cancelation I have correctly predicted. The renewal of Aquarius I incorrectly predicted, and the renewal of Beauty and the Beast happened before its current season began (although if you look back on my Disqus account you will see that I predicted that it would become a summer show and it would get renewed).

Next week I will have my first predictions for Significant Mother and Mr. Robinson. Will their good lead-ins of Whose Line is it Anyway? and America's Got Talent respectively help? We will see!

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!

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