Summer Renew/Cancel Predictions - July 24: Extant Will Likely be Canceled

Hi! In case this is your first time reading my summer renew/cancel predictions post, I'm Hunter and I will be posting these predictions each weekend this summer, covering the summer shows on the five major broadcast networks. This is week six, and this week Welcome to Sweden premiered its second season on NBC. Also, this week I have to make a correction; I found out last weekend that Wayward Pines was canceled, which had been quietly revealed last week on Thursday when the tenth and final episode of the season was promoted as the "series finale". I apologize for the error, this week it will be corrected, and Wayward Pines will be in the "fate decided" category. I predicted this cancelation correctly, as in my July 10th post I had put it in the "will likely be canceled" category. That's enough talking for now, here are the summer shows divided into categories, and then my in-detail thoughts on a few of them. Enjoy!

Format for predictions:
Show title (network) (average adults 18-49 rating)

Certain to be Canceled
The Astronaut Wives Club (ABC) (0.8)
Dates (CW) (0.1)
Golan the Insatiable (FOX) (0.5)
The Whispers (ABC) (1.0)

Will Likely be Canceled
Extant (CBS) (0.7)
Rookie Blue (ABC) (0.7)
Welcome to Sweden (NBC) (0.3)

Toss-Up
Mistresses (ABC) (0.8)

Will Likely be Renewed

Certain to be Renewed
Under the Dome (CBS) (1.1)
Zoo (CBS) (1.1)

Fate Determined
A.D.: The Bible Continues (NBC) CANCELED
American Odyssey (NBC) CANCELED
Aquarius (NBC) RENEWED
Beauty and the Beast (CW) RENEWED
Hannibal (NBC) CANCELED
Wayward Pines (FOX) CANCELED 

Yet to Premiere
The Carmichael Show (NBC)
Mr. Robinson (NBC)
Significant Mother (CW)

CBS was probably hoping that with the timeslot upgrade, Extant's ratings would improve. They did, but I doubt that 0.1 more was good enough. Extant was only able to notch a 0.7 airing after Big Brother, which got a 1.8. It's looking like even that deal with Amazon won't save Extant now. Extant will soon be extinct.

Welcome to Sweden premiered to miserable ratings. Last year, it easily got renewed with okay ratings, a renewal in Sweden, and the Poehler name. This year, the ratings are half what they were last year, and there has been no news yet about a renewal in Sweden, where the show was not as big in season two as it was in season one. It's not looking good for Welcome to Sweden.

While Extant is doing poorly, all hope is far from lost for scripted programming in CBS summers. Zoo was flat at 1.0 this week and Under the Dome went up to 1.0. Also, CBS obviously is satisfied, as they plan on continuing scripted programming during the summer with the addition of new political sci-fi dramedy BrainDead. This is a sign that at least one of Under the Dome and Zoo are for sure coming back, and probably both.

ABC summers' scripted programming is looking a lot worse than CBS'. While Thursday is a mess, The Whispers is also not looking good. This week it went back down to 0.8, and that was when I decided to move it to "certain to be canceled". What made The Whispers' fate even more certain though is when Lily Rabe, the series' star, got casted in American Horror Story. There is absolutely no chance now that The Whispers will be back for season two.

Speaking of ABC Thursdays, I have moved The Astronaut Wives Club to "certain to be canceled" after this week's 0.6 rating. Also, this Thursday Mistresses fell again to a 0.7, while Rookie Blue rose to a 0.8. While this makes me want to switch the two shows on here, for now they will stay put at "toss-up" and "will likely be canceled" respectively. Don't be surprised if either show moves in the near future though.

Right now almost every show has reached certainty. Only four shows, Extant, Rookie Blue, Welcome to Sweden, and Mistresses, have not. Next week, at least one of those shows will move somewhere. Come back next week to see what moves where!

Do you agree or disagree with my predictions? How do you think the upcoming summer shows will do? Leave a comment with your thoughts!

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