Showing posts with label the crazy ones. Show all posts
Showing posts with label the crazy ones. Show all posts

CBS Renew/Cancel Watch: 'The Odd Couple' Is... An Oddity?



Welcome to the CBS Renew/Cancel Watch. All scripted, primetime shows are included in the prediction table below once they have premiered for the season. An analysis of any new prediction changes or observations follows. My current predictions are as of April 17, 2016.

The key to the right indicates which colors are associated with each prediction. The data in the table includes season lows, highs, and averages (Adults 18-49 demo), as well as the year-to-year changes for returning shows that have not already been officially renewed or canceled. These are provided for reasoning with and understanding my predictions. The shows are ordered by their season averages against only other scripted CBS shows.

   Rank     
Show Title
    Season Low High /Average     
 Y2Y Change
1
The Big Bang Theory
--
--
2
NCIS
2.0 / 2.7 / 2.23
-7.1%
3
Life in Pieces
1.7 / 2.6 / 2.00
--
4
Scorpion
1.5 / 2.2 / 1.79
-22.2%
5
Criminal Minds
1.5 / 2.2 / 1.79
-28.4%
6
NCIS: New Orleans
1.5 / 2.5 / 1.75
-16.7%
7
Supergirl
1.3 / 3.1 / 1.67
--
8
Mom
1.5 / 1.8 / 1.67
-27.4%
9
Mike & Molly
1.6 / 1.7 / 1.62
-16.9%
10
2 Broke Girls
1.5 / 1.7 / 1.61
-19.5%
11
The Odd Couple
- / 1.5 / 1.50
-31.8%
12
Angel from Hell
1.3 / 1.6 / 1.42
--
13
Criminal Minds: Beyond Borders
1.3 / 1.6 / 1.38
--
14
Limitless
1.1 / 1.9 / 1.38
--
15
NCIS: LA
1.1 / 1.6 / 1.33
-16.9%
16
Code Black
1.0 / 1.5 / 1.26
--
17
Madam Secretary
1.0 / 2.0 / 1.25
-13.2%
18
Blue Bloods
1.1 / 1.5 / 1.25
-3.8%
19
Hawaii Five-0
1.0 / 1.4 / 1.14
-5.0%
20
The Good Wife
0.9 / 1.4 / 1.05
-11.7%
21
Elementary
0.8 / 1.2 / 1.01
-22.3%
22
Rush Hour
0.9 / 1.1 / 0.97
--
23
CSI: Cyber
0.7 / 1.1 / 0.91
-35.0%

The following analysis will be painfully long, but I promise to at least make it somewhat worth your time.

The Odd Couple is a question mark. Originally a midseason replacement in the post-TBBT slot in Spring 2015, the Matthew Perry-Thomas Lennon unlikely-buddy comedy averaged a fine 2.2 in the demo through its first season, which consisted of only 12 episodes. It was awarded a second season renewal and was, again, held for midseason this season with a Spring 2016 debut.

Its season two premiere drew an underwhelming 1.5 last week, following a season low (3.1) for The Big Bang Theory. This week, it followed a Big Bang rerun (1.6) and managed to maintain its previous 1.5 rating. It's rather respectable to go from ~49 percent retention one week to ~94 percent the next with an unchanged demo. However, the sitcom was at a season low, a rating it achieved once last season (5/7/15 - its ninth episode). Life In Pieces never hit that mark during its entire run this season. LIP's lowest point, and most timely result to compare, was its 1.7 season finale on 3/31/16. The freshman singlecam has yet to be renewed, but it's widely expected to return after averaging a 2.0 this season, making it the #1 new comedy on broadcast for 2015-16. Veteran comedies Mom and 2 Broke Girls have officially secured fifth and sixth seasons, respectively. The former is averaging 1.69, and the latter 1.61 to date. 

A fair comparison for The Odd Couple is, of course, the freshman Jane Lynch-Maggie Lawson sitcom Angel from Hell, which was abruptly pulled from the schedule after airing only five episodes earlier this year. The series premiered to a 1.6, dipped in its second episode to a 1.3, and disappeared quietly with a 1.42 average. Unlike The Odd Couple, Angel from Hell aired at 9:30 and didn't get the cushy post-TBBT slot. Like The Odd Couple, Angel from Hell is owned by CBS. This was to be its greatest advantage in a sea of outside studio productions (The Big Bang Theory, Mom, 2 Broke Girls, and Life In Pieces all hail from outside studios), yet it couldn't muster enough of a bite in the ratings to keep CBS happy. 

The Odd Couple does have the advantage of a first season under its belt already, but with that first season being only 12 episodes, is it enough? It is averaging 1.5 after two episodes, but where will it sit after the remainder of its 13-episode season two order is aired? We still have 11 episodes to go, and Spring is getting deeper and darker by the minute (in contrast to the longer and lighter days). It doesn't have much room to fall from any reasonable standpoint. Of course, The Big Bang Theory will keep it propped up in the short term, but CBS's staple sitcom only has four more originals to air before its current season has aired out its order. 

We can consider a historical perspective when it comes to CBS and how many comedies they typically renew and order to series each year. Let's look at the last couple of years for perspective.

In 2013, CBS ordered the following comedies: How I Met Your Mother, The Big Bang Theory, Mom, The Millers, 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, Two and a Half Men, The Crazy Ones, and We Are Men. That's five returning series and four freshman. They renewed four veterans (The Big Bang Theory, 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, Two and a Half Men), renewed two freshman (Mom, The Millers), canceled two freshman (The Crazy Ones, We Are Men), and gave a publicized final season to a veteran (How I Met Your Mother). 

In 2014, CBS ordered the following comedies: The Big Bang Theory, Mom, The Millers, The McCarthys, 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, Two and a Half Men, and The Odd Couple. That's six returning series and two freshman. They ultimately renewed four veterans (TBBT, Mom, 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly) and one freshman (The Odd Couple), canceled one not even halfway through its second season (The Millers), pulled the other freshman after 11 episodes (The McCarthys), and gave a publicized final season to a veteran (Two and a Half Men).

This season, CBS ordered the following comedies: The Big Bang Theory, Mom, 2 Broke Girls, Mike & Molly, The Odd Couple, Life In Pieces, and Angel from Hell. That's five returning series and two freshman. So far, they have renewed three veterans (TBBT, Mom, 2 Broke Girls), pulled a freshman after 5 episodes (Angel from Hell), and gave a publicized final season to a veteran (Mike & Molly).
What's slightly different about the 2015-2016 season is that comedies didn't air for more than a few weeks on Mondays at 8:00/8:30. The Big Bang Theory and Life In Pieces premiered there and promptly moved to Thursdays in typical CBS fashion by October, but a drama, Supergirl, assumed the hour for the remainder of the season and continues to air there as we speak. This forced CBS to air two comedies on Wednesdays at 8:00/8:30 for a brief period, which worked temporarily for Mike & Molly and 2 Broke Girls, until Survivor returned. Since that point, Mike & Molly has been benched and 2 Broke Girls moved into Angel from Hell's 9:30 slot on Thursdays. It's poor planning from an outsider's perspective, because the network ordered 7 comedies with only a constant 4 spots to air them in during the season. Did Angel from Hell get less rope to work with because CBS had so many waiting in the wings to replace it? Almost assuredly. However, 2 Broke Girls would most likely have been pulled and aired later in the season if Angel from Hell took off. Perhaps CBS was OK with that possibility, because they could have even ended the only moderately-rated 2 Broke Girls this season as well. History shows that CBS favors ending one veteran comedy per season, though.

In the end, CBS is a drama network. As much as they want you to believe they are the comedy powerhouse on the block (which, compared to FOX and NBC they are, but ABC is queen here with a larger number of comedies pulling their weight), they are very drama heavy and will be at a substantial loss in the comedy department once The Big Bang Theory ends in the next few seasons. They have to make a decision now about their comedy assets. Do they invest in what they have now and put off rebuilding their comedy brand until TBBT ends, or do they sacrifice the weak and make a big power move in trying to establish new staple comedies? 

Assuming Supergirl is renewed and remains on Mondays, CBS will have 4 spots again in the fall, with The Big Bang Theory obviously leading off the night and a new comedy taking shape behind it. CBS has ordered the Untitled Kevin James multicam project straight-to-series, which seems like a safe bet for earning a fall slot based on James' noteworthy experience with the network. CBS TV Studios co-produces it, along with the high profile Matt LeBlanc pilot I'm Not Your Friend, which has a heavy penalty in LeBlanc's favor should CBS decide not to order it to series. In all honesty, the marketing department would be given a golden egg if LeBlanc and Perry were starring in comedies on the same network. Imagine the promos. Just imagine them. LeBlanc's show being aptly titled I'm Not Your FRIEND is almost too much in and of itself. Other projects with CBS TV Studios involvement include the multicams The Great Indoors, My Time/Your Time, Real Good People, and Superior Donuts. CBS only ordered pilots for two singlecams - What Goes Around Comes Around (WB), and Furst Born (CBS/ABC Studios). The remaining outsider is the Tina Fey/Robert Carlock-produced The Kicker, a multicam from Universal TV. CBS will at least pick up one more new comedy besides the Kevin James project, if they're smart and if history tells us anything.

If a CBS veteran will end next season, most assume it to be 2 Broke Girls. It would basically be in a similar position to Mike & Molly in expenses and declining ratings. It's not far-fetched to assume the end of Mom and The Big Bang Theory might follow in the subsequent couple of seasons, by 2017/2018. What this says to me is that CBS really ought to open up another comedy hour again. They already have to bench one returning comedy if they want to premiere just ONE freshman in the fall in the limited 4 slots scenario. My guess is that 2 Broke Girls gets the exact Mike & Molly treatment we saw this season: renewed for a 13-episode sixth season, benched, and aired as filler until it's forced off the schedule and "final season-ed" by CBS. Nonetheless, Life In Pieces is expected to leave the wings of TBBT, which would most likely push it to 9:30 if CBS is being reasonable with itself and keeping Mom as the 9:00 staple. How low it might go there could be troublesome. It's done fine in its couple of airings without TBBT originals, but so did Mom when it started off there and now it's looking noticeably less lively with only 3 seasons under its belt. 

To tie The Odd Couple back into this: WHERE DOES IT REALLY FIT? If the show falls into lower 1s, is there any substantial value for a show that will only technically have one full season to its merit with 23 episodes? I suppose CBS could order another 13 episodes for another midseason run, but that would only bump it up to 38 episodes after 3 seasons. It's a nice thought to get an owned show to syndication again, but they would have their work cut out for them. Perry is still a marquee talent (although he's had a fine share of post-Friends flops that greatly challenge this), but it seems a better investment of CBS's resources to work on their promising comedies in development. CBS tends to be a network of consistency and commitment, though, so it's impossible to say with finality how they intend to / should approach their current assets. Ultimately, The Odd Couple sits nervously "On the Bubble" at the moment until I can see where the next couple of airings take it. 




The 7 Least Successful Recent CBS Comedies

The Ratings Junkie Saturday, June 27, 2015
The 7 Least Successful Recent CBS Comedies
Of all the broadcast networks, it is pretty clear that CBS has the highest standards for their comedy ratings. They are not the type of network that will renew a show, or let it finish its first season even, to see if it can grow (with the rare exception of Mom). Simply put, they do not have any room on their comedy schedule to do such a thing (now if they just cut down on a couple low-rated drama hours...). Of their seven most recently cancelled series, only two made it past 15 episodes: The Crazy Ones and The Millers. Even then, The Crazy Ones was cancelled after a full season, and The Millers was pulled from the schedule five episodes into its second season. Let's now take a look back at all those short-lived shows. Before you move on, try to see if you can actually name all of them.

Show Year Aired Episodes Aired Summer Burn-Off? Average A18-49 Rating Before Burnoff Average A18-49 Burnoff Rating High  Low
How To Be A Gentleman
     2011-2012
9
Yes (6 episodes)
2.0
0.3
2.7
0.3
Rob
2012
8
No
3.3
                   N/A
4.1
2.6
We Are Men
2013
2
No (pulled from the schedule)
1.9
    N/A
2.0
1.8
Bad Teacher
2014
13
Yes (8 episodes)
1.5
0.3
2.1
0.2
Friends With Better Lives
2014
8
No (pulled from the schedule)
1.8
                   N/A
2.6
1.4
The Crazy Ones 2013-2014
22
No
2.1
                   N/A
3.9
1.3
The Millers 2013-2014
34
Yes (6 episodes)
2.6 (S1) and 1.7 (S2)
TBD
3.3
1.5
The McCarthys 2014-2015
15
Yes (4 episodes)
1.5
TBD
1.7
1.1



How To Be A Gentleman

How To Be A Gentleman aired in the 2011-2012 TV season. Of course, saying this is very generous, because it was pulled from the schedule in October 2011 before being burned off in 2012. It aired just 9 episodes.

Don’t let the 2.0 Adults18-49 average for the first three episodes fool you—it should be noted that its lead-in was The Big Bang Theory. Its premiere episode had only a 2.7 rating out of The Big Bang Theory’s 4.9, and its second episode got a 2.5 out of a 4.5. Not too great retention. But what happened in the third episode, which aired after a 0.9 Two and a Half Men lead-in on a Saturday, did something that few shows have done over time: lost 72% of its week-ago audience. Yes, that’s right, How To Be A Gentleman had a 0.7 in its third episode, and was rightfully pulled from the schedule after that historically disastrous rating.

How To Be A Gentleman may go down as being the most lead-in dependent show of the common era. And yes, that includes the other disasters listed in this table. Let’s just say that the Saturday experiment didn’t exactly work for them, and there hasn’t been a first-run scripted show in a handful of years that landed on Saturday except for burnoffs.

Rob

Remember Rob? It was CBS’s fall 2012 attempt of finding a perfect companion for The Big Bang Theory. Spoiler alert: it wasn’t. Some criticized the show for having a Latino theme, with no person of the ethnicity on the writing staff. On the bright side, it wasn’t one of the many shows whose fate was a summer burnoff. It was also the highest rated of the bunch, with an average of a 3.3 Adults18-49 rating over its 8-episode run. 

But this isn’t all about raw numbers. After all, networks don’t renew shows based off of past results, but rather what they think the show will rate in the following season. The show started with a 4.1 Adults18-49 rating, and went down to a 2.6 by its finale. In fact, every episode was either even or down from the previous episode in raw ratings, losing more and more of its Big Bang Theory lead-in. Take a 2.6 rating for an unfavorably reviewed show and move it away from The Big Bang Theory, and there is very little chance of it staying above a 2.0 rating. CBS saw this coming, and cancelled it ahead of a potential sophomore slump.

We Are Men

We Are Men aired in the fall of 2013 after the final season of How I Met Your Mother. For two episodes, that is. Its retention out of its lead-in was poor, to say the least, and its critical reviews were anything but favorable. It premiered to a very modest 2.0 Adults18-49 rating, and I must say that its 1.8 for its second episode really isn’t all that bad considering its original sampling. However, the sheer fact that its original sampling was so relatively low got it pulled from the schedule. There really isn’t much else to say on the matter of this two-episode wonder, other than that it will go down in history along with Lucky 7 as one of two shows airing in the 2013-2014 season to be pulled from the schedule and never burned off.

Bad Teacher

Bad Teacher? More like Bad Ratings? Sorry for the bad joke. After premiering to a modest 2.1 rating after Two and a Half Men’s 2.5, Bad Teacher quickly crumbled, hitting a 1.4 on its second episode and a 1.1 by its fifth episode, after which CBS pulled it from the schedule. And it just got worse. One of its Saturday episodes received a 0.2 rating, which means it shed over 90% of its premiere audience. Correct me if I am wrong, but I don’t believe any show on non-CW broadcast television has ever gone lower than that. If you were one of the 0.2% of adults between the ages of 18 and 49 who watched that one live on a Saturday night: I don’t think there has ever been someone more loyal to a show than you.

On a side note, the first five episodes of this show about a trophy wife-turned-teacher followed an eerily similar ratings path as ABC’s Trophy Wife, which actually shared nothing in common with this show. 

Friends with Better Lives


Friends with Better Lives joins We Are Men as one of the shows on this list which was pulled from the schedule and never burned off later. The thing is, the ratings for this show weren’t especially that bad. Its finale managed a 1.4 rating amidst 1.0 rerun ratings for both its lead-in and lead-out, and did not receive a first-run lead-in for any of its final three episodes. It also held decently in the ratings despite this. After premiering behind the series finale of How I Met Your Mother, the show was pretty much left on its own, since 2 Broke Girls had a massive decline every time CBS gave it the responsibility of being an anchor. Lower-rated shows were renewed by other networks while this one was cancelled. Of course, CBS had high standards for their comedies, and they still do. I truly think this one had great potential considering that any other comedy time slot would be an upgrade, and it would have avoided CBS from having to have a regularly-scheduled rerun of The Big Bang Theory this spring. Oh well. This is the one that got away, in my book.

The Millers

The Millers is a show that had absolutely no critical support. I would really like to see a breakdown of its start rating and its end rating, because chances are the rating at the end of an episode was significantly lower than the average rating that we see on multiple ratings sites. Its first season was a huge success in raw numbers, averaging a 2.6 rating. Then again, Rob was a huge success in raw numbers again, and we saw how that one went.
No one really expected The Millers to do all that well when it was announced its second season would not air behind The Big Bang Theory. However, not many people even suspected the show to be pulled five episodes into its season, something that is extremely rare for a non-freshman show. 

Its ratings actually weren’t all that bad, but they were definitely low for CBS’s schedule. They are not afraid to pull a show from their schedule in order to bring their spackle veteran (currently Mike & Molly) back on the schedule. I also have another theory that CBS did this in order to try to save the falling 2 Broke Girls. Regardless, a Saturday burnoff starts on July 4 with The McCarthys, a match made in hell. I don’t believe either show has been advertised in months, and many think they are done for good (well, they will be after the burnoff).

The McCarthys

The McCarthys was similar in name, theme, and ratings trends this season as The Millers. it premiered to a very low 1.7, but then held onto much of that for most of its run (spare a single instance of having a 1.1). Still, that is underperforming for a CBS comedy, and got to air 11 episodes on Thursday before being pulled from the schedule. Like most of these other shows, The McCarthys was poorly received by critics, and since ratings tend to go lower for a show in its second season, CBS probably made the right decision in canceling this one. However, I am very surprised that they pulled it from the schedule before airing its final four episodes, replacing it with a rerun of The Big Bang Theory

_______________________________________________________

Thanks Hunter for suggesting that we do an article pertaining to CBS comedy--there is always a chance that more on the topic is on the way! This supplements some of our past articles, and I invite any new reader to come read them:

FOX's Animation Domination: http://tvratingsguide.blogspot.com/2015/05/animation-domination-look-back-at-foxs.html

ABC Comedy (Parts 1-3)http://tvratingsguide.blogspot.com/2015/06/abc-comedy-2009-2010.html

NBC Comedyhttp://tvratingsguide.blogspot.com/2015/06/what-went-wrong-nbc-comedy.html

Do you think CBS was right in canceling these series? Please, let me know what you think in the comments section below, and maybe your comment will inspire a future article!