Summer Reality Renew/Cancel, Week 7: Totally Knocked Out

The Summer Reality Renew/Cancel is back after a week off, and a lot has happened since our last update. Stay tuned for the intial status of two shows, plus updates on a few of the Summer's other programs!

(Note: Downgrades are noted in purple bold type, upgrades are noted in blue bold type, and premieres are noted in italics.)
Certain to be Canceled:
Phenoms (0.2, 0.1-0.2)
Running Wild with Bear Grylls (0.6, 0.3-0.9)
TKO: Total Knock Out (0.8, 0.6-0.9)

Likely to be Canceled:
The Gong Show (0.5, 0.5-0.6)
The Last Defense (0.4, 0.3-0.5)
Love Connection (0.5, 0.4-0.6)
My Last Days (0.1)
Whistleblower (0.4)

Leans Cancellation:
48 Hours: NCIS (0.5, 0.4-0.5)
Little Big Shots (0.8, 0.7-1.1)
Pink Collar Crimes (0.3)

Leans Renewal:
Beat Shazam (0.7, 0.7-0.8)
Making It (1.1)
The Proposal (0.7, 0.6-0.8)
So You Think You Can Dance (0.7, 0.6-0.8)

Likely to be Renewed:
20/20: In An Instant (0.4)
Celebrity Undercover Boss (0.6, 0.5-0.7)

Certain to be Renewed:
American Ninja Warrior (1.1, 0.9-1.2)
America's Got Talent (2.2, 2.0-2.5)
The Bachelorette (1.4, 1.2-1.6)
Big Brother (1.4, 0.9-1.6)
The Four (0.8, 0.7-0.9)
MasterChef (1.0, 0.9-1.2)
Masters of Illusion (0.2)
Penn & Teller: Fool Us (0.3)
What Would You Do? (0.6, 0.5-0.8)
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (0.3, 0.3-0.4)

Fate Determined:
The $100,000 Pyramid (RENEWED)
24 Hours To Hell and Back (RENEWED)
Celebrity Family Feud (RENEWED)
Match Game (RENEWED)
To Tell the Truth (RENEWED)
World of Dance (RENEWED)

Yet to Premiere:
Bachelor In Paradise (August 2018)
Castaways (August 2018)

TKO: Total Knock Out: Man, this show's fortunes changed fast. While it had a decent start and second-week hold, it fell to a 0.6 in its third week. This alone prompted me to downgrade it. And then, CBS turned on the show, yanking it from the Wednesday lineup in favor of SEAL Team repeats and pushing it to Fridays with Whistleblower. It did decent-ish there, but they're clearly over this show already, and its odds of renewal are nonexistent. It's a CERTAIN CANCELLATION.

Pink Collar Crimes: The premiere of this crime reality series didn't go too well, with a 0.3 for its first episode. It's an improvement on what CBS had been on Saturdays, but not a huge one. I'd say it's a slightly more successful launch than Whistleblower, which started at 0.4 on a night that is far less toxic. A 0.3 start still doesn't inspire much confidence in the show's future, but with costs that are likely incredibly low, it has a chance to return if it can hold around here or even grow. It LEANS CANCELLATION.

The Four: Season two of Fox's answer to American Idol and The Voice just wrapped, with yet another season high of 1.0. Considering that the show nearly hit a 0.6 at one point this season, this is an incredible result, and it proves that the show really does have its own audience. A 1.0 is a very strong Summer number, so this show is getting a huge upgrade, straight to CERTAIN RENEWAL.

Making It: It wasn't a great premiere night for the new crafting series from Parks & Rec's Amy Poehler and Nick Offerman, but it was an OK one. With a 1.1, this is lower than anything World of Dance did in the slot in either of its two seasons occupying it. However, it's still a perfectly acceptable number that's in-line with what Hollywood Game Night did in the slot last year. The only problem here is that, being a new show, it's probably going to drop in the coming weeks. How far it drops will determine whether it'll come back or not, but I have to predict based on the data I have, so it currently LEANS RENEWAL.

What do you think of my predictions? What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments below and don't forget to vote in the poll of the week!

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