Showing posts with label reign. Show all posts
Showing posts with label reign. Show all posts

CW Renew/Cancel Preseason Predictions

CW Renew/Cancel Preseason Predictions











Hello, peeps! I'm Jessica, and this fall, I will be doing Renew/Cancel predictions for The CW. Last season, the network renewed their entire Monday-Thursday lineup, throwing Hart of Dixie to the wolves. Let's get on to my preseason predictions for the fall 2015 season.

Certain to be Canceled
Crazy Ex-Girlfriend

Likely to be Canceled
The Vampire Diaries

Toss Up
Reign

Likely to be Renewed
Jane the Virgin

Certain to be Renewed
Arrow
The Flash
iZombie
The Originals
Supernatural

Crazy Ex-Girlfriend: First off, I would say, what a poor choice for a lead in. Also, three words: Dead. On. Arrival.

The Vampire Diaries: After Nina Dobrev's departure, I wouldn't be surprised if there was a sharp ratings decline. Also, one commenter has pointed out that it has no syndication deal. Another one commented that CW viewers are experiencing vampire fatigue. I don't see this lasting much longer.

Jane the Virgin: Although rather mediocre in the ratings, it has gotten critical acclaim. It is also closer to syndication, which means that it will need one more full season to reach 66 episodes, and also for the guarantee of the syndication gods. Given the situation with Tribune, the CW would like to have as many shows in syndication as possible.

iZombie: Higher rated than Jane the Virgin. It also has The Flash as a lead-in.

Reign: It will be in its third season. Guaranteed fourth season renewal for syndication purposes, regardless of ratings. SpoilerTV reported that the third season will have 18 episodes, instead of the 22 episodes originally ordered. And there was a shorter shooting schedule. Sounds to me that the episode order was cut. Let's take a road down memory lane. On CBS last season, CSI's episode order was cut from 22 to 18, and it was canceled in May. On Fox, Mulaney's order was cut to the actual 13 episodes. Granted, if the CW decides to cancel one scripted drama, it will likely be Reign, combined with the woeful ratings it has gotten last season. It's a toss-up between cancelation and renewal, since the episode cut was made before the premiere.

The Originals: It will be in its third season. Guaranteed fourth season renewal for syndication purposes, regardless of ratings.

Arrow: Enough said. The CW has bigger fish to fry.

The Flash: Highest rated series on the CW. I don't see this going anywhere.

Supernatural: Enough said. Like I said, the network has bigger fish to fry.

What are your predictions? Let me know in the comments below!

CW Fall 2015 Schedule Analysis

The Ratings Junkie Sunday, August 02, 2015


Here is my analysis for The CW's fall 2015 schedule.

Monday

8-My Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
9-Jane the Virgin

After taking a hit on Mondays, The CW decided to move The Originals yet again. In its place will be My Crazy Ex-Girlfriend, whose pilot had to be redone from a half-hour cable pilot to an hour-long broadcast pilot. I'm not exactly sure who the show is supposed to target. Females, because it is paired with Jane the Virgin? Or males, considering that many men probably consider themselves to have "crazy ex-girlfriends"? I'm not really sure, but either way its time slot and unexpected pick-up don't give the show much going for it. Meanwhile, low-rated dramedy Jane the Virgin will remain at 9 after much critical success and steady ratings through the season. Although Monday won't be their highest-rated night, it will still do better than that Hart of Dixie-Beauty and the Beast duo from a couple seasons back.

Tuesday

8-The Flash
9-iZombie

iZombie staying behind The CW's one true decently-rated show (by the standards of the other networks, that is) really surprised me considering the weak retention despite the seemingly compatible theme. I'm almost surprised they didn't pick up Cordon and didn't air it there. iZombie should do pretty well in raw numbers, but not in retention. Meanwhile, I expect more of the same out of The Flash, and perhaps even ratings growth once DC's Legends of Tomorrow arrives. The executives over at The CW are sure hoping that The Flash doesn't see a sophomore slump, but so far there are no signs of that.

Wednesday

8-Arrow
9-Supernatural

Keeping this Wednesday schedule the same was probably the smartest thing to do, considering Supernatural wouldn't be able to endure yet another time slot change, plus it would rate better than The 100. Very conservative here, but I wouldn't be too worried about this night falling apart.

Thursday

8-The Vampire Diaries
9-The Originals

After two seasons of seeing Reign rate poorly behind The Vampire Diaries, The CW decided to give the 9pm time slot to its spin-off, arguably where it should have been the entire time for compatibility purposes. Only now, The Originals is no longer a CW hit, not is The Vampire Diaries. I don't think The Originals will go too low, and we should be seeing another season of it, but a string of 0.4s and 0.5s are highly likely. If anything though, it will be getting a lead-in for the first time.

Friday

8-Reign
9-America's Next Top Model

The fact that Reign being renewed consistently would confuse me had it not be for the fact that it is produced by CBS Studios. Being dumped on Friday with no lead-in even further mystifies me, considering that it has gone as low as a 0.3 this season and never saw strong retention out of The Vampire Diaries on Thursday. Could we possibly see a 0.1, or even a 0.0? Only time will tell, but I have a feeling we'll be seeing The 100 here sooner rather than later.

Final Thoughts

The CW didn't really do much different this time around, which was to be expected considering they renewed all of their fall shows. Reign being on Friday may be somewhat of a bold move, but who knows, maybe it will see a Hart of Dixie-like hold (not like it saved the latter). With DC's Legends of Tomorrow coming in midseason and the decline of female-skewing dramas such as The Vampire Diaries, The CW is becoming an increasingly male-skewing network. Considering that demographic is typically hard to reach, the otherwise struggling network may have a real future there if they invest more into male-skewing shows.

What is your analysis of your schedule? Do you agree or disagree with my thoughts? Leave a comment below and maybe it will become the Comment of the Week next Saturday!