December 2nd Predictions
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| Photo Credit: Fox |
Below are the Week 10 renew/cancel predictions for the Fox network in the 2023-24 television season. The numbers listed in the table mark the Nielsen rating low, average, and high for each respective program in the Adults 18-49 demographic. The "Y2Y (year-to-year) Change" column denotes how much the series has risen or fallen when compared to its average from the previous season. Because of the WGA and SAG-AFTRA strikes, there is a limited amount of scripted programming this fall. As a result, reality television will now be included in this column.
Note: Final ratings for the episodes of Hell's Kitchen and LEGO Masters that aired on November 30th are yet to be released. These ratings will be added to the chart in the December 9th post.
The Masked Singer: The Masked Singer recently dipped to a 0.41 rating in the Adults 18-49 demographic, putting it just two ticks above the series low (0.39) that it set in October 2022. It's easy to forget that this show was regularly clearing the 2.0 mark just four years ago, especially given how fast it has fallen. The Masked Singer is still near the top of Fox's roster and clearly a notch higher than most of the other reality fare on the network, but it would only take another 20-30% decline before it becomes indistinguishable from the rest of the middling performers on Fox.
Snake Oil: Snake Oil plummeted to a new series low on November 29th. The David Spade game show managed just a 0.19 and retained less than half of the rating that The Masked Singer put up in the 8 p.m. time slot. Things are getting shaky for this series, but it has bounced back from egregious lows before. It remains a Likely Renewal in this chart for the time being. That may change, however, if the series continues to fall below the 0.20 mark.
Family Guy: A new series low has also arrived at Peter Griffin's doorstep. The Seth MacFarlane cartoon dropped to a 0.23 rating on November 26th and could only tie the episode of Bob's Burgers that led into it. With a move to Wednesday on the horizon and a two-month break coming soon, the future is looking quite bleak for Family Guy. The series may be Renewed through the 2024-2025 TV season, but Fox is doing all it can to downgrade its status on the network. If it's struggling to build on the relatively compatible Bob's Burgers, it's hard to imagine that Family Guy will grow from Animal Control on a new night in spring 2024.
Special Forces: Special Forces: World's Toughest Test closed out its 8-episode season with an uptick. The series grew by 0.05 and posted a 0.24 rating for its closing installment. That may not be enough to get it a renewal, but it definitely makes it look stronger than this week's Snake Oil. With reality content like The Floor, Next Level Chef, and Farmer Wants a Wife coming through in the new year, it is unlikely that there will be room for Forces. The series remains Likely to be Canceled.
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